NFL Picks - 11/18/2012

Last Updated: 11/14/2012

NFL Picks Pages:
November 15: Predictalator Picks 
November 18: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
November 19: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play Live
422 1:00 PM @STL Paul's Pick Top ATS Play of the Day Lock of the Week NYJ -3 7.0 61.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
432 4:25 PM @DEN Paul's Pick SD -7 10.6 60.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
434 8:20 PM @PIT Paul's Pick Upset Watch BAL 3 0.9 59.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
420 1:00 PM @DAL Paul's Pick CLE -7.5 10.3 58.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
418 1:00 PM @CAR Upset Watch TB 1.5 2.2 58.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
430 4:05 PM @OAK NO 5 -1.5 57.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
414 1:00 PM @DET GB 3.5 -0.4 57.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
415 1:00 PM ARI @ ATL 10 -7.7 57.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
411 1:00 PM PHI @ WAS 3.5 -0.9 56.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
428 1:00 PM @KC CIN 3.5 -1.5 55.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
425 1:00 PM JAC @ HOU 16 -14.6 54.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
423 4:25 PM IND @ NE 9 -8.6 51.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play Live
426 1:00 PM @ HOU JAC 25.6 10.9 88.6 Boxscore Play Live
420 1:00 PM @ DAL CLE 25.5 15.3 75.9 Boxscore Play Live
432 4:25 PM @ DEN SD 27.0 16.4 75.8 Boxscore Play Live
416 1:00 PM @ ATL ARI 24.4 16.7 70.6 Boxscore Play Live
424 4:25 PM @ NE IND 32.9 24.3 69.6 Boxscore Play Live
422 1:00 PM @ STL NYJ 22.7 15.7 68.4 Boxscore Play Live
418 1:00 PM @ CAR TB 23.9 21.6 54.8 Boxscore Play Live
427 1:00 PM CIN @ KC 20.8 19.3 54.2 Boxscore Play Live
429 4:05 PM NO @ OAK 30.1 28.6 53.9 Boxscore Play Live
412 1:00 PM @ WAS PHI 25.1 24.2 52.6 Boxscore Play Live
434 8:20 PM @ PIT BAL 19.6 18.7 51.7 Boxscore Play Live
413 1:00 PM GB @ DET 24.4 24.0 51.5 Boxscore Play Live


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play Live
412 1:00 PM PHI @ WAS 44 49.2 Over 58.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
426 1:00 PM JAC @ HOU 40.5 36.5 Under 57.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
432 4:25 PM SD @ DEN 48.5 43.4 Under 57.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
430 4:05 PM NO @ OAK 54.5 58.7 Over 55.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
428 1:00 PM CIN @ KC 43.5 40.1 Under 55.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
434 8:20 PM BAL @ PIT 41 38.3 Under 55.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
416 1:00 PM ARI @ ATL 44 41.0 Under 55.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
424 4:25 PM IND @ NE 53.5 57.2 Over 54.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
418 1:00 PM TB @ CAR 48.5 45.5 Under 54.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
420 1:00 PM CLE @ DAL 43.5 40.8 Under 54.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
414 1:00 PM GB @ DET 51.5 48.4 Under 54.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
422 1:00 PM NYJ @ STL 38.5 38.4 Under 50.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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NFL Picks Pages:
November 15: Predictalator Picks 
November 18: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
November 19: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

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