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    NFL Picks - 11/18/2012

    Last Updated: 11/14/2012

    NFL Picks Pages:
    November 15: Predictalator Picks 
    November 18: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    November 19: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
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    Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play Live
    422 1:00 PM @STL Paul's Pick Top ATS Play of the Day Lock of the Week NYJ -3 7.0 61.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    432 4:25 PM @DEN Paul's Pick SD -7 10.6 60.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    434 8:20 PM @PIT Paul's Pick Upset Watch BAL 3 0.9 59.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    420 1:00 PM @DAL Paul's Pick CLE -7.5 10.3 58.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    418 1:00 PM @CAR Upset Watch TB 1.5 2.2 58.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    430 4:05 PM @OAK NO 5 -1.5 57.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    414 1:00 PM @DET GB 3.5 -0.4 57.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    415 1:00 PM ARI @ ATL 10 -7.7 57.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    411 1:00 PM PHI @ WAS 3.5 -0.9 56.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    428 1:00 PM @KC CIN 3.5 -1.5 55.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    425 1:00 PM JAC @ HOU 16 -14.6 54.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    423 4:25 PM IND @ NE 9 -8.6 51.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live


    Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play Live
    426 1:00 PM @ HOU JAC 25.6 10.9 88.6 Boxscore Play Live
    420 1:00 PM @ DAL CLE 25.5 15.3 75.9 Boxscore Play Live
    432 4:25 PM @ DEN SD 27.0 16.4 75.8 Boxscore Play Live
    416 1:00 PM @ ATL ARI 24.4 16.7 70.6 Boxscore Play Live
    424 4:25 PM @ NE IND 32.9 24.3 69.6 Boxscore Play Live
    422 1:00 PM @ STL NYJ 22.7 15.7 68.4 Boxscore Play Live
    418 1:00 PM @ CAR TB 23.9 21.6 54.8 Boxscore Play Live
    427 1:00 PM CIN @ KC 20.8 19.3 54.2 Boxscore Play Live
    429 4:05 PM NO @ OAK 30.1 28.6 53.9 Boxscore Play Live
    412 1:00 PM @ WAS PHI 25.1 24.2 52.6 Boxscore Play Live
    434 8:20 PM @ PIT BAL 19.6 18.7 51.7 Boxscore Play Live
    413 1:00 PM GB @ DET 24.4 24.0 51.5 Boxscore Play Live


    Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

    Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play Live
    412 1:00 PM PHI @ WAS 44 49.2 Over 58.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    426 1:00 PM JAC @ HOU 40.5 36.5 Under 57.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    432 4:25 PM SD @ DEN 48.5 43.4 Under 57.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    430 4:05 PM NO @ OAK 54.5 58.7 Over 55.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    428 1:00 PM CIN @ KC 43.5 40.1 Under 55.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    434 8:20 PM BAL @ PIT 41 38.3 Under 55.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    416 1:00 PM ARI @ ATL 44 41.0 Under 55.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    424 4:25 PM IND @ NE 53.5 57.2 Over 54.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    418 1:00 PM TB @ CAR 48.5 45.5 Under 54.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    420 1:00 PM CLE @ DAL 43.5 40.8 Under 54.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    414 1:00 PM GB @ DET 51.5 48.4 Under 54.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
    422 1:00 PM NYJ @ STL 38.5 38.4 Under 50.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live

    In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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    NFL Picks Pages:
    November 15: Predictalator Picks 
    November 18: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    November 19: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
    Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
    Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
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