NFL Picks - 12/3/2012

Last Updated: 11/28/2012

NFL Picks Pages:

November 29: Predictalator Picks  
December 2: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
December 3: Predictalator Picks 
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

***Also available for this weekend (11/29-12/2) entirely for FREE are college football (involving AP Top 25 teams), NFL (all games) and NBA (all games) LIVE SCORECASTER games. We simulate the rest of every game 50,000 times after each play to project a final score and projected winner in this web and mobile application. The APP is available in iTunes and is always free to download and use. In-game, live win probability charts from simulations are available during and after each game online in our Live ScoreCaster section as well.***

Show Explanation

Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play Live
368 8:30 PM @WAS NYG 2.5 -0.7 54.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play Live
367 8:30 PM NYG @ WAS 26.4 25.7 52.0 Boxscore Play Live


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play Live
368 8:30 PM NYG @ WAS 51 52.1 Over 51.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

Show Play Value Key Explanation

Show Play Value Calculator Explanation

Show Parlay Calculator Explanation

 

NFL Picks Pages:

November 29: Predictalator Picks  
December 2: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
December 3: Predictalator Picks 
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

Archive

Calculators

Show Parlay Calculator
Play Value Calculator
Pick Win %:
Normal Play*:
Odds:
Other Plays Today: Advanced
Suggested Play:
% Needed:
*Normal play should not exceed 5% of bankroll.

Key**

3X Normal Play
2X Normal Play
Normal Play
Half-Bet Play
Light Play
No Play
Upset Watch Upset Watch
Lock of the Week Lock of the Week
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