NFL Picks - 11/4/2012

Last Updated: 10/31/2012

NFL Picks Pages:
November 1: Predictalator Picks  
November 4: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
November 5: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
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Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) ATS Pick Opp Line Margin Win% ATS Boxscore Calc Play Live
427 1:00 PM DET Paul's Pick Top ATS Play of the Day Lock of the Week @ JAC -3.5 7.4 60.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
437 8:20 PM DAL Paul's Pick @ ATL 4 -1.1 60.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
434 4:05 PM @OAK Paul's Pick TB -1.5 5.5 59.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
418 1:00 PM @GB ARI -11 13.7 59.0 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
432 4:05 PM @SEA MIN -5 7.7 58.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
415 1:00 PM DEN @ CIN -3.5 6.4 57.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
425 1:00 PM CAR @ WAS 3.5 -0.3 57.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
435 4:25 PM PIT @ NYG 3.5 -1.4 55.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
420 1:00 PM @IND MIA 2.5 -0.4 54.8 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
422 1:00 PM @CLE BAL 3.5 -1.7 54.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
430 1:00 PM @TEN CHI 3.5 -2.4 53.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
423 1:00 PM BUF @ HOU 10 -9.6 51.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Boxscore Play Live
418 1:00 PM @ GB ARI 27.5 13.8 84.2 Boxscore Play Live
424 1:00 PM @ HOU BUF 26.7 17.1 75.2 Boxscore Play Live
432 4:05 PM @ SEA MIN 23.6 15.8 70.6 Boxscore Play Live
427 1:00 PM DET @ JAC 25.1 17.7 68.6 Boxscore Play Live
415 1:00 PM DEN @ CIN 26.0 19.6 66.0 Boxscore Play Live
434 4:05 PM @ OAK TB 27.0 21.5 62.9 Boxscore Play Live
429 1:00 PM CHI @ TEN 20.8 18.5 56.5 Boxscore Play Live
421 1:00 PM BAL @ CLE 22.5 20.8 54.6 Boxscore Play Live
436 4:25 PM @ NYG PIT 24.1 22.7 53.7 Boxscore Play Live
437 8:20 PM @ ATL DAL 22.8 21.7 51.7 Boxscore Play Live
419 1:00 PM MIA @ IND 23.0 22.6 51.4 Boxscore Play Live
426 1:00 PM @ WAS CAR 25.4 25.1 51.4 Boxscore Play Live


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% Boxscore Calc Play Live
430 1:00 PM CHI @ TEN 43.5 39.3 Under 57.6 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
426 1:00 PM CAR @ WAS 46.5 50.5 Over 56.5 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
424 1:00 PM BUF @ HOU 47.5 43.8 Under 56.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
438 8:20 PM DAL @ ATL 47.5 44.4 Under 54.9 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
418 1:00 PM ARI @ GB 44 41.3 Under 54.7 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
420 1:00 PM MIA @ IND 43 45.6 Over 54.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
434 4:05 PM TB @ OAK 46 48.5 Over 54.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
416 1:00 PM DEN @ CIN 47.5 45.5 Under 53.3 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
428 1:00 PM DET @ JAC 44 42.8 Under 52.1 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
422 1:00 PM BAL @ CLE 42.5 43.3 Over 51.4 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
436 4:25 PM PIT @ NYG 47.5 46.8 Under 51.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live
432 4:05 PM MIN @ SEA 39.5 39.4 Under 50.2 Boxscore Calc --> Play Live

In the picks above, Margin, Points For, Points Against and Total Points are averages from 50,000 games played. The Win% ATS is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted spread. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on "Calc" and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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NFL Picks Pages:
November 1: Predictalator Picks  
November 4: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
November 5: Predictalator Picks  Paul's Analysis
Play Analyzer - View Updated Picks on Current Consensus Lines
Customize the Predictalator - Play the Games with Any Lines
Buy Picks

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