MLB Picks - 7/21/2014

Last Updated: 7/21/2014 4:00 PM ET

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For baseball wagering tips, please see the MLB Betting Strategy Blog. If you are getting a different line than our projection or you are interested in teaser plays or other exotics that use different lines, we've got you covered. Simply access the Customizable Predictalator or the Play Analyzer, which allows you to run actual, future or totally hypothetical games while being able to input your own against-the-spread and over/under lines. Also, to know who we project to be OUT of each game, check out our injuries information.

Money-line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) ML Pick Opponent SU% Proj. SU% Needed ML $ Calc Analyze More
914 7:07 PM @Tor Upset Watch Bos 56.0 48.8 105 $70 Analyze More
924 10:10 PM @Sea NYM 58.5 54.5 -120 $44 Analyze More
907 8:10 PM Cin Upset Watch @Mil 50.9 46.5 115 $41 Analyze More
905 7:10 PM Mia @Atl 41.4 37.0 170 $35 Analyze More
911 7:05 PM Tex @NYY 43.4 39.2 155 $34 Analyze More
901 7:05 PM SF @Phi 49.9 46.5 115 $32 Analyze More
916 8:10 PM @Min Cle 49.9 46.5 115 $32 Analyze More
910 8:40 PM @Col Was 44.6 43.5 130 $10 Analyze More
922 9:40 PM @Ari Det 45.5 44.4 125 $10 Analyze More
903 7:05 PM LAD @Pit 50.9 50.0 100 $9 Analyze More
919 10:05 PM Bal @LAA 45.7 45.5 120 $2 Analyze More
918 8:10 PM @CWS KC 62.1 63.0 -170 $0 Analyze More


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Matchup O/U Total Pick Pick% Proj. Pick% Need Odds $ Calc Analyze
910 8:40 PM WAS @ COL 10.5 9.5 Under 54.4 50.0 100 $44 Analyze
901 7:05 PM SF @ PHI 7 8.4 Over 58.0 54.5 -120 $38 Analyze
903 7:05 PM LAD @ PIT 7.5 8.3 Over 54.5 53.5 -115 $11 Analyze
912 7:05 PM TEX @ NYY 9 8.0 Under 55.1 54.5 -120 $6 Analyze
923 10:10 PM NYM @ SEA 7.5 7.8 Over 51.8 51.2 -105 $6 Analyze
922 9:40 PM DET @ ARI 9 8.2 Under 53.6 53.5 -115 $1 Analyze
913 7:07 PM BOS @ TOR 8.5 8.3 Over 48.9 51.2 -105 $0 Analyze
908 8:10 PM CIN @ MIL 7.5 7.7 Under 48.9 50.0 100 $0 Analyze
906 7:10 PM MIA @ ATL 7 7.1 Under 49.0 51.2 -105 $0 Analyze
920 10:05 PM BAL @ LAA 8.5 8.2 Under 51.7 53.5 -115 $0 Analyze
915 8:10 PM CLE @ MIN 9 9.2 Over 51.1 51.2 -105 $0 Analyze
917 8:10 PM KC @ CWS 7 7.2 Over 51.4 53.5 -115 $0 Analyze


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opponent Runs For Runs Against Win% Analyze
918 8:10 PM @ CWS KC 4.1 3.1 62.1 Analyze
906 7:10 PM @ Atl Mia 3.9 3.2 58.6 Analyze
924 10:10 PM @ Sea NYM 4.3 3.6 58.5 Analyze
912 7:05 PM @ NYY Tex 4.3 3.7 56.6 Analyze
914 7:07 PM @ Tor Upset Watch Bos 4.4 3.9 56.0 Analyze
909 8:40 PM Was @ Col 5.0 4.6 55.4 Analyze
921 9:40 PM Det @ Ari 4.3 3.9 54.5 Analyze
920 10:05 PM @ LAA Bal 4.3 3.9 54.3 Analyze
907 8:10 PM Cin Upset Watch @ Mil 3.9 3.8 50.9 Analyze
903 7:05 PM LAD @ Pit 4.2 4.1 50.9 Analyze
902 7:05 PM @ Phi SF 4.2 4.2 50.1 Analyze
915 8:10 PM Cle @ Min 4.6 4.6 50.1 Analyze


Run-Line Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot RL Pick Opp. RL Margin RL% Proj. RL% Need Odds $ Calc Analyze
914 @TOR BOS 1.5 0.5 67.1 62.3 -165 $64 Analyze
907 CIN @MIL 1.5 0.0 69.6 65.5 -190 $59 Analyze
911 TEX @NYY 1.5 -0.6 61.7 57.4 -135 $50 Analyze
905 MIA @ATL 1.5 -0.7 60.3 57.4 -135 $34 Analyze
901 SF @PHI 1.5 0.0 68.8 66.7 -200 $32 Analyze
924 @SEA NYM -1.5 0.7 39.8 37.0 170 $22 Analyze
903 LAD @PIT 1.5 0.1 69.9 68.8 -220 $18 Analyze
919 BAL @LAA 1.5 -0.4 64.1 63.0 -170 $15 Analyze
916 @MIN CLE 1.5 0.0 60.9 60.0 -150 $11 Analyze
918 @CWS KC -1.5 1.0 43.8 45.5 120 $0 Analyze
922 @ARI DET 1.5 -0.4 58.1 58.3 -140 $0 Analyze
910 @COL WAS 1.5 -0.4 56.5 56.5 -130 $0 Analyze

In the picks above, Margin, Runs For, Runs Against and Total Runs are averages from 50,000 games played. The RL% is the percentage of games in which the team picked covers the noted run line. Similarly, the Pick% in the Over/Under table is the percentage of time that the Over or Under pick covers the total. These values represent the Predictalator's confidence in the pick and are used in the Play Value Key and Calculator. With RL and O/U plays assumed to be -110, anything less than 52.38% confidence is not considered to be a worthwhile pick. With Money-Line plays, any game for which neither team wins enough to justify value is ignored. To alter odds or to evaluate money-line plays, click on “Calc” and adjust the Odds in the Play Value Calculator. Clicking on the "Play" button will allow you to run that game through the Customizable Predictalator. An "Upset Watch" icon will appear next to games where we believe the underdog is more like than not to win outright. Picks will be updated as needed due to injury (up to one hour before game time).

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