New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Nova's Title Run (04/05/16)

    By John Ewing Director of Research and Analytics @johnewing
    Six plays that won Villanova the National Championship.



    Villanova won its first title since 1985 by beating North Carolina 77-74 on Monday night. The Wildcats got it done on both ends of the court during the tournament shooting 58.2 percent on offense and forcing turnovers on 22 percent of opponents' possessions.

    For as well as Nova played, it took a buzzer-beater for the Cats to cut down the nets. With that in mind, here are the six plays that won Villanova the National Championship:

    UNC Asheville – 1st Round

    The Cats rolled UNC Asheville 86-56 to start the tournament. Ryan Arcidiacono scored 14 points including a buzzer-beating 3 at the end of the first half. The last second heave was the second of back-to-back three pointers that increased Nova's chance of winning by 3.5 percent. That doesn't sound like much but Villanova began the game as a 94 percent favorite against the Bulldogs.

    Iowa – 2nd Round

    Villanova returned to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2009 by easily dispatching Iowa 87-68. Stop me if this sounds familiar, Ryan Arcidiacono was key to the win. The senior guard splashed in a three pointer at the start of the game (+8.4 percent in expected win probability), Nova would hit seven of their first ten attempts from downtown. By the time the barrage from behind the arc was over, the Cats led 46-27 and were 95.5 percent likely to win.

    Miami – Sweet 16

    Kris Jenkins showed off his “Steph Curry” range by nailing a 3 from well beyond the line to beat the shot clock (+7.4 percent in expected win probability) late in the first half in Nova's 92-69 win over Miami. It wouldn't be the last big shot the junior would make in the tournament.

    Kansas – Elite 8

    Stout defense and clutch free throws sealed Nova's upset of Kansas in the South Region championship game. The biggest play though was a three pointer by Arcidiacono with 8:40 to play. It was part of a 10-0 run that gave the Cats the lead for good. The scoring outburst increased Nova's chance of winning by 55.6 percent and made them 76.9 percent likely to win.

    Oklahoma – Final Four

    Nova shot 71.4 percent from the floor and only missed five shots in the second half in route to the biggest blowout ever in the Final Four. The Cats used a 21-4 first half run to break the game wide open. Mikal Bridges started it all with a three pointer with 11:23 to play in the first half (+6.5 percent). By the time the run was over, Villanova was 93.9 percent likely to win.

    North Carolina – National Championship



    Villanova's second title was won in thrilling fashion. After Marcus Paige tied the game with a double-clutch three pointer with four second left, Kris Jenkins one-upped him. The buzzer-beater capped a magical run for the Cats through March Madness.

    Nova had a 60 percent chance to win before Jenkins took his fateful shot. If he misses and the game goes to overtime, the Cats are slight favorites (51.9 percent) to win in the extra session.



    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Nova vs. Sixers (04/05/16)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Best College Basketball Teams (03/30/16)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    05/10/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now into its second month, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides and totals continue to remain extremely profitable despite a recent run of bad variance to start May. The Predictalator's record of 272-250 on sides and totals this season doesn't look all that impressive, but that's because the simulations have sided with underdogs more often than favorites. Through May 9, the Predictalator has generated $547 for an average $50 bettor. "Normal" or better sides, totals, and run lines (our strongest edges) are 14-10 (+$118) season-to-date.

    The NBA Playoffs continue on in the Second Round and the Predictalator has been profitable on both sides and totals in this year's postseason. Despite being just 16-19 (45.7%) ATS in the NBA Postseason, the Predictalator has generated $46 of total profit, which is a testament to our play value recommendations. Totals have been the real moneymaker in this postseason though, as all playabale totals are 19-15 (55.9%) for a solid profit of $168.

    The NHL Playoffs have featured some very tight lines posted by oddsmakers, which has led to lower volume for the Predictalator. That hasn't let to less profits though. The Predictalator has posted 10 NHL positions (ML, O/U, or PL) in May, going 8-2 (80%) on those positions for a profit of $87. It is rare to find a big edge in the NHL this late in the year, but the Predictalator continues to chip away on small edges to provide solid returns.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB - The So What?
    We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including the returns of Josh Donaldson and Troy Tulowitzki to the Blue Jays lineup.

    MLB Futures Picks - Who to bet for the World Series
    Each Monday during the 2017 season, we will review free MLB Futures value picks.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com