New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Three Props to Look at for Super Bowl LI (02/02/17)

    By Frank Brank @realfbra
    Using our Super Bowl prop projections, we'll review our best prop bets for Super Bowl LI. After 50,000 simulations, we anticipate the Patriots to win by an average margin of three points with an average final score of 28.3 to 25.2.

    1. Tom Brady Passing Yards (Line: 310.5, Projected: 265.1)

    Tom Brady's passing yardage prop is too high. Simply put, Brady has only thrown for more than 310 yards six times this season. Though the Falcons have given up some points on defense, they still rank 13th in yards per pass attempt against and sixth in yards per catch. Thus, they have taken the big play away from most teams. The Falcons rushing defense is where they've struggled where they rank 28th in yards per rushing attempt. The Patriots are also likely to be leading, as they are favored in the game, which should lead to less passing opportunities.


    2. Matt Ryan Passing Yards (Line: 310.5, Projected: 262.4)

    We have a similar projection for Matt Ryan's anticipated passing yardage. Ryan has been incredible all season but the long, high play Patriots drives should hurt his chances in going over his passing yardage total. Ryan has thrown over 310 yards in eight of twenty games this season and the Patriots only allow 237.9 passing yards per game. New England's defense also rank eighth in passing yards per attempt and 11th in completion percentage.


    3. LeGarrette Blount Rushing Yards (Line: 57.5, Projected: 65.1)

    The method behind Blount's rushing yards over projection are outlined above. The Falcons passing defense and pass rush has been better than depicted. However, their rushing defense has been quite poor. Though teams tend to attack the Falcons through the air, the Patriots coaching staff seems to find the biggest weakness and exploit it. We also anticipate the Patriots to be leading more often than trailing; thus, Blount, their most reliable ball carrier, should get the workload in those situations.
    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Ranking the Patriots Super Bowl Teams (02/03/17)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Super Bowl Expected Points Since 2000 (01/31/17)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    The Predictalator

    03/27/2017 Highlight: With the start of MLB right around the corner, we can use our ResultsFinder tool to uncover some past success in baseball. April has historically been a great month for the Predictalator, as evidenced by last season's outstanding 41-22 (65.1%) record on all "normal" or better ML, RL, and O/U plays. A $50 bettor would have profited a whopping $1,002 using our recommended wager sizes in April. MLB season win totals have also been extremely fruitful in the history of this site, with the Predictalator producing an outstanding 54-19 (74.0%) record on all playable win totals.

    March Madness is winding down and it was another solid month for the Predictalator. There were a total of 69 "normal" or better college hoops positions (sides and totals) in the month of March, and the Predictalator posted a strong 42-27 (60.9%) record, generating $704 in total profits. NBA has also followed suit with "normal" or better positions winning at a 58.1% clip since the beginning of February, and at a 57.9% clip for March.

    NHL profits continue to roll right along as well, as the Predictalator has cashed in on nine of 12 "normal" or better positions in March. The Predictalator has now amassed an incredible 45-28 (61.6%) on all "normal" or better money lines, puck lines, and totals this season, totaling $499 in total profits for a ?$50 bettor.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB Win Totals - Over/Under Picks
    We take a look at the 2017 MLB over/under team season win totals. Highlighted, "normal" or better MLB Win Total Picks are 54-19 all-time. See free picks on the Cubs, Dodgers, Phillies and more.

    Updated Bracket Odds - Final Four
    The Predictalator simulates the Final Four 50,000 times to see how likely each remaining team is to win the NCAA Tournament

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com