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    NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 4

    By Mark Dankenbring
    DFS Football Value Plays – Week 4

    With Week 4 of the NFL season upon us, let's take a look at who sets up to have the most value based on their salary in daily fantasy for DraftKings and FanDuel. With injuries opening up expanded roles for certain players, and favorable matchups starting to be determined after two weeks, we have a solid list of value plays this week. Value plays are centered around players who are below the average salary cost for their position and will produce the most points per dollar spent. Below are a list of some highlighted players on both platforms, but to see a full ranking of players and their value this week, visit our Optimizer tool for full control over your lineup.

    Each player is listed with their salary and projected points for the week.

    DraftKings

    Quarterbacks



    After a tough matchup against the Seahawks in Seattle, Gabbert heads home to face a Cowboys defense who has allowed 681 yards passing over the last two weeks. Gabbert hasn't had great fantasy production thus far, but he has a favorable matchup at home and comes in tied with the lowest salary of any quarterback on DraftKings. Even if Gabbert isn't able to reach the 300 yard mark against the Cowboys, he'll likely accrue some points rushing the ball, as he's picked up 75 yards and a touchdown on the ground this year.



    Hoyer also enters Week 4 with the minimum salary for a quarterback on DraftKings. Jay Cutler is still day-to-day, so it is still uncertain whether Hoyer will start on Sunday, but if he is under center he'll be facing a Detroit defense who has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks thus far. The Lions have allowed four passing touchdowns in each of their two road games this year, and head to Chicago a week after Hoyer threw for 317 yards and two touchdowns. Hoyer has some weapons to turn to in Alshon Jeffery, Zach Miller, and Kevin White, and with a banged up backfield he will likely be called upon to throw the ball more than usual against a porous secondary. If Hoyer's in there, look for him to post great value with his $5,000 salary.

    Running Backs



    In a week where Jeremy Langford is out with an ankle injury and Ka'Deem Carey did not participate in practice on Wednesday after missing last Sunday's game, Howard comes in as our top value play at the running back position. In limited use so far this season, Howard has shown good production, averaging 5.6 yards on his first 12 rushes, and he's also caught six passes for 56 yards on just eight targets. The Bears seem primed to move the ball on Detroit's defense, and with Howard being a dual threat at the running back position, he'll likely get several opportunities catching passes out of the backfield, as well as in red zone situations. His production could be hurt if Carey plays on Sunday, but if he is the lone man in the Bears' backfield, look for him to have a big day.



    McKinnon makes the list for the second week in a row after he saw the majority of the snaps last week against the Panthers. He enters Week 4 with a tough matchup against a Giants defense who has allowed only 3.2 yards per carry to opposing backs. McKinnon's main value in DraftKings' PPR format is his pass catching ability out of the backfield. After a week where he was only targeted twice and caught one ball for two yards, I expect him to be a bigger factor in the passing game this Monday as New York has allowed 11 receptions to opposing running backs in their last two games.



    The Bengals take on the Miami Dolphins tonight in Cincinnati after losing at home to the Broncos just four days ago. After a week with 97 yards and two touchdowns, Hill is looking to continue his production against a Miami team who has allowed 297 yards and a touchdown to opposing running backs over the last two weeks. Hill has seen the majority of the snaps go to Giovani Bernard so far, but the Bengals have been primarily passing after trailing the majority of the game in the first three weeks. Look for the Bengals to build a lead against an inferior Dolphins team and for Hill to get plenty of looks in the second half.

    Wide Receivers



    Beasley had another solid DraftKings scoring week last week, hauling in seven catches for 73 yards. The Cowboys travel to face the 49ers who have four receiving touchdowns over the last two weeks. Beasley makes our list again after leading the Cowboys in targets last week, and with Dez Bryant potentially sidelined with a fracture in his knee, Beasley is in a prime position to receive consistent targets again this weekend. The targets and catches will be there, so if Beasley can find his way into the end zone, look for a big week for him at a cheap salary of only $3,900.



    After limited use in the first couple weeks, White saw 14 targets from quarterback Brian Hoyer last week. Surprisingly enough, White's DraftKings' salary dropped even more this week, down from $4,000 last week. He'll square off against a Lions' defense who allowed receivers to catch three touchdowns against them last week. If Hoyer starts, and it looks like he will, expect him to target White consistently this weekend. I doubt he'll reach 14 again, but hopefully his efficiency will be better against Detroit. Look for him to haul in his fair share this weekend and potentially score his first NFL touchdown.



    Humphries enters the weekend having played at least 63 snaps in the last two games, and has received 20 total targets in the last two weeks as well. After catching 9 passes for 100 yards last weekend, Humphries and the Bucs host a Broncos defense who have only allowed one receiving touchdown through three weeks to opposing receivers. Even though it's a tough matchup, the Broncos will likely have their primary focus on Mike Evans on the outside and Cameron Brate, who scored two touchdowns last week, on the inside. At the cheapest potential salary of $3,000, Humphries should be a fill-in for a lineup that features high-profile plays at other positions.

    Tight Ends



    After a week where he filled in for Antonio Gates, Henry is poised to start again at home against the Saints this weekend. Henry played well in his first NFL start, catching all five of his targets for 76 yards. The Saints have had a terrible passing defense through three games, but have fared well against opposing tight ends. With limited options on offense, however, Rivers will likely target Henry frequently this weekend as it lines up to be a shootout in San Diego. Henry is a good, safe option to put stock in this Sunday.



    After basically no production through the first two weeks, Fleener finally connected with Drew Brees, catching seven of his 11 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown. Fleener heads to San Diego to face a Chargers team that has allowed at least six catches and 88 yards to opposing tight ends in each game this year. With the potential to put up big numbers again this week, Fleener offers great value at the tight end position.



    What would a value play position be in Week 4 without at least one Bears' player in the mix? Miller rounds out our list of DraftKings value plays after putting up eight catches for 78 yards and two touchdowns last week. As I've already said multiple times, the Lions have the worst pass defense so far this season, and have allowed five touchdowns to opposing tight ends through three games. Unless DraftKings knows something about Detroit's game plan this weekend that we don't, I expect Miller to be a great value play this weekend along with his other Bear teammates listed above.

    FanDuel

    Quarterbacks



    *See Explanation Above*



    *See Explanation Above*

    Running Backs



    *See Explanation Above*



    Ware could be a risky start in FanDuel this weekend, as lineups are locked at the starting time of the contest, and the Chiefs and Steelers don't kick off until 8:30 pm ET Sunday night. Also, Jamaal Charles might factor into the backfield equation this weekend. All of that aside, however, if Charles is announced out, Ware is a great value play on FanDuel. In the past two weeks, the Steelers have allowed opposing running backs to catch 18 passes for 265 yards and two touchdowns. We know Ware is capable of catching passes out of the backfield, because in Week 1 he caught seven passes for 129 yards. Therefore, if Ware is the starting back, look for Andy Reid to exploit the Steelers' weakness and run some plays for Ware out of the backfield.

    Wide Receivers



    $6,600 is a relatively high salary for a value play, but Benjamin comes in atop our projected leaderboard of $/point scored this week. The Saints have had a rough go of it on the defensive side of the ball this year, allowing an average of 32 points per game to opposing teams this year. Benjamin had an underwhelming outing last week scoring just 8.2 points, but is still seeing plenty of looks from Philip Rivers. Expect Benjamin to receive at least seven targets again this week, if not more, and hopefully find his way into the end zone to make a good value play for your lineup.



    *See Explanation Above*

    Tight Ends



    *See Explanation Above*



    *See Explanation Above*
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