New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    GameChangers (02/17/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    GameChangers, a look at plays that impacted the outcomes of NCAA college basketball games. If you have a suggestion for a GameChanger please direct all ideas via twitter to @johnewing.


     
    To highlight the Live ScoreCaster, we will take our in-game technology, Live ScoreCaster, to the next level to review the game-changing plays from college basketball and what the game would have looked like if the plays had turned out differently. 
     
    Click the links for each game to see the Live ScoreCaster charts as well as more analysis in the new Game Breakdown section.

    Note: Rankings are per the AP Poll when the game was played. We do not condone the approach the AP Polls take to rank teams as either an appropriate way to evaluate the best or most deserving teams in the country (we use them here to represent a familiar take on the public's expectations for each team), therefore we have our own Power Rankings that more accurately reflect the landscape of college basketball. 
     
    No. 2 Arizona vs. Arizona State
     
    Arizona State knocked off No. 2 Arizona in double overtime Friday night; it was the Sun Devils first win against a top 5 team since 1998. The tightly contested game wasn’t decided until the final moments of the second overtime when Arizona State’s Jordan Bachynski blocked T.J. McConnell’s drive and it lead to a run-out dunk for the Sun Devils. That sequence of events made Arizona State 73.5% likely to win leading 69-66.
     
    Had McConnell’s shot not been blocked, instead the floater finds the basketball and Arizona takes a 68-67 lead, the Wildcats become 50.1% likely to escape with the win.
     
    No. 1 Syracuse vs. NC State
     
    The Orange needed a key steal and a fast break layup to survive NC State and keep their perfect season alive. The turnover and the quick score by Syracuse gave the Orange a 56-55 lead with 0:07 left in the 2nd, making Syracuse 67% likely to win.
     
    Had the Wolfpack not committed the turnover, Syracuse most likely would have fouled giving NC State a chance to extend the lead with free throws. Two successful free throws would have given the Wolfpack a 57-54 lead and made NC State 64% likely to win.
     
    With the win, Syracuse has a 5.6% chance of finishing the season undefeated. The Orange’s two wins this week (Pitt and NC State) only increased their undefeated odds from 2.6% to 5.6%.
     
    No. 9 Michigan State vs. Nebraska
     
    Nebraska snapped a 25-game road losing streak vs. top-10 teams Sunday with their surprising (they were 14 point underdogs) 60-51 win over Michigan State. The Cornhuskers survived a late second half charge by the Spartans. Leading 51-49 with 2:31 left to play, Nebraska hit a heart breaking three pointer as the shot clock was expiring. The three point jumper extended the Cornhuskers’ lead to 54-49 and made Nebraska 77% likely to win.
     
    Had Nebraska missed the three pointer and Michigan State tied the game at 51-51 on the ensuing possession, the Spartans would have become 54% likely to win and avoid the upset.
     
    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    GameChangers (02/24/14)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    March Futures (02/13/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

    Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop or by game here.

    06/04/2017 Highlight: With the NHL Stanley Cup Finals nearing its conclusion, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our playoffs-to-date numbers. Since the start of May, the Predictalator is an incredible 25-9 (73.5%) on all NHL selections, including money line sides, totals, and puck lines. An average $50 bettor would have profited $242; six times more than the cost of the full NHL Playoffs package.

    The NBA Playoffs have featured more ups-and-downs than the NHL postseason; however, totals continue to produce at a solid clip for the Predictalator. Dating back to the beginning of April, the Predictalator has posted a stellar 53-41 (56.4%) record on all playable NBA totals, producing $351 in total profit for a $50 bettor.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    Ranking the Best Teams in NBA History
    We use advanced statistical methods to rank past great championship teams against the most recent NBA championship and powerhouse teams.

    MLB Risers & Fallers - Power Rankings
    Mark Dankenbring discusses the biggest risers and fallers in our MLB Power Rankings over the course of the past week.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com