New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    GameChangers (04/08/14)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics, @johnewing
    By John Ewing
    GameChangers, a look at plays that changed the outcome of the National Championship game. If you have a suggestion for a GameChanger please direct all ideas via twitter to @johnewing.


     
    To highlight the Live ScoreCaster, we will take our in-game technology, Live ScoreCaster, to the next level to review the game-changing plays from NCAA National Title game and what the game would have looked like if the plays had turned out differently. 
     
    Click the links for each game to see the Live ScoreCaster charts as well as more analysis in the new Game Breakdown section.

     
    UConn vs. Kentucky
     
    UConn lead by as many as 15 points in the first half but Kentucky pulled to within one with 8:13 left. A Shabazz Napier turnover gave the Wildcats an opportunity to take the lead for the first time. Aaron Harrison, who gave Kentucky its previous two wins with 3-pointers, missed from behind the arc. Kentucky never got that close again.
     
    Had Aaron Harrison’s 3-pointer been good, Kentucky would have taken a 50-48 lead and the Wildcats would have become 63% likely to win.

    The Huskies never trailed in the championship game. However, UConn didn’t become the projected winner until 13:10 left in the 1st half and didn't take the projected lead for good until 15:14 left in the 2nd.


    How unlikely was this championship?

    The Huskies were just 5.3% likley to reach the Final Four and 0.8% likely to win the National Title before the tournament began.

    UConn also needed overtime in their first game of the tournament against St. Joe's. Connecticut’s freshman center Amida Brimah forced overtime by completing a three-point play in the final minute. Brimah shot 57.1% from the free throw line for the season. UConn needed him to convert the free throw to tie the game. Essentially it was a 50/50 proposition that Brimah would make the shot.



    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    UConn/Kentucky vs. 76ers (04/09/14)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Sweet 16 Odds (03/25/14)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    08/09/2017 Highlight: Football season is slowly approaching and as we use our ResultsFinder tool to look back on previous seasons, we can see that ATS picks in the NFL regular season have topped 56% ATS four times in seven years, and have been profitable in all but one season on the site. NFL Playoff picks are also a stellar 50-25 (67% ATS) in our history.

    In college football, "normal" or better totals are 58% all-time and have been profitable in five of the previous seven years. Meanwhile, our strongest ATS pick each week in college football is 69-40 (63% ATS) all-time. With college football season win totals being posted this week, we can also note that last season, playable win total picks in went 28-19 (60% O/U) to turn a profit of $899 for a normal $50 player using our play value recommendations.

    MLB picks have been on a tear for upwards of a month, with our models generating $742 in total profits on ML and RL picks since the beginning of July. "Normal" or better ML and RL plays in that same stretch are a commendable 20-11 (64.5%), producing $331 in profits for an average $50 bettor.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    Fantasy Sports Partnership
    Prediction Machine has partnered up with Fantasy Guru Elite. Read the blog from our Business Manager, Rob Pizzola, to learn more.

    NFL Preview - In-Depth Analysis
    In the most likely Super Bowl, the New England Patriots defeat the Seattle Seahawks. Check out in-depth analysis for every team in the league.

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com