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    Richner: 2013 Mock Draft (4/11/13)

    Last Updated: 10/14/2014 10:06 AM ET

    Utilizing our unique, objective approach to player projections and development, PredictionMachine.com presents its 2013 NFL Draft content, including a Mock Draft, Position-by-Position Reports, Statistical Breakdowns and Future Projections for all prospects in the 2013 NFL Draft. Content is FREE from PredictionMachine.com's Paul Bessire and Jonn Ewing as well as NFL Draft Expert Matt Richner.

    NFL Draft Expert Matt Richner projects the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft. With a complete evaluation of teams needs, strengths and weaknesses, this mock draft represents what each organization SHOULD do in the 2013 NFL Draft. Each draft selection is based upon team needs, players strengths, offensive and defensive scheme assignments, and players overall talent level. These are the highest rated players on Matt's board along with who he feels will achieve the most sustained success in the NFL with each roster. Read Matt's comments on each first round pick below.

    Also, look for a complete seven-round "Mock" Draft from Matt Richner and Paul Bessire coming April 23, 2013.

    2013 NFL Draft First Round Mock

    1. Kansas City, Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M: A cornerstone type of player who can come in and play the right tackle position in year one, then slide over to the left tackle spot in year two and beyond. A complete player who will have no problems adjusting to the speed of the NFL.

    2. Jacksonville, Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M: The Jaguars are a mess on both sides of the ball. Moore will provide stability from the RDE position. A natural pass rusher whose snap-to-sack time was an impressive 2.65 seconds last season.

    3. Oakland, Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida: The Raiders have a number of holes along the defensive front, they are in need of a play-maker along the line. Floyd is a dominate run-stuffer, last year Florida held opponents to only 94.9 rushing a game last season. He will be a key center piece to a rebuilding franchise.

    4. Philadelphia, Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama: The top player on my board, Warmack will fit in perfectly for the Eagles up-tempo offense. He can overpower his opponents and has the athleticism to quickly get up field. With no long term answer at the QB position, better invest in the offensive line now.

    5. Detroit, Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan: The Lions have a desperate need for a left tackle after the retirement of OT Jeff Backus. Fischer is solid prospect who excels in pass protection. 

    6. Cleveland, Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State: The Browns have too many holes to fill. Look for them to trade back to pick up some more picks. Rhodes is a big, physical corner who can in man-coverage. Pairing him with Joe Haden will give the Browns one of the best young secondary’s in the NFL.

    7. Arizona, Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma: Arizona fixed the need at the quarterback position for the short term with the addition of Carson Palmer. Johnson is a highly mobile offensive lineman. Look for the Cards to mix up their offense with deep down field shots and screens. 

    8. Buffalo, Jonathan Cooper, OG, UNC: he loss of Adam Levitre leaves a big hole on the Bills offensive line. The Bills need a quarterback, but should invest in their offensive line, and select a QB in the second round. 

    9. New York Jets, Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia: Jones is the top rated OLB pass rusher on my board. Leading the nation in sacks this past season with 14.5. An explosive athlete off the edge, he should pair up with last season top pick Quinton Coples to give the Jets a good one-two punch.

    10. Tennessee, Bjoern Werver, DE, Florida State: The Titans gave up an average of 29.4 points a game last season. Werner finished his career averaging 1.94 impact plays per game. A three –down lineman who has multiple pass rush moves, and can play the run.

    11. San Diego, D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama: Fluker is the tough, nasty type of lineman who won't back down from anyone and frankly, why should he at 6-5 and 355 pounds? He is a road grader who is athletic enough to get outside and get to the second and third level. Chargers are a team that could use a player who plays with a mean streak.

    12. Miami, Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah: Randy Starks was franchised, but until he signs a long term deal, he might only be in South Beach for one more season. Star, is a physical beast along the defensive line. He should have no problems occupying blockers, allowing Cameron Wake and company to clean up on the outside.

    13. Tampa Bay, Jonathan Banks, CB, Mississippi State: The Buccaneers haven’t addressed their need at the cornerback position and Banks has the length to match up against the taller wideouts in the NFC South. A play maker on the defensive side, Banks has 16 career INT, 3 INT returned for TD's, and 4 forced fumbles on his resume.

    14. Carolina, Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia: The explosive wideout, Tavon Austin, will finally give defenses something to think about instead of focusing their attention towards Steve Smith. He possesses elite speed and quickness, something the Panthers are severely lacking on offense.

    15. New Orleans, Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State: This mammoth, run-stuffing defensive tackle/nose tackles held opponents to 3.6 yards-per-carry average for the season. At 6’3” and 335 lbs, Hankins is a rare player who can play the nose tackle position for teams running a 3-4 defense.

    16. St. Louis, Phillip Thomas, FS, Fresno State: The Rams have a good stable of pass rushers with Long, Quinn, and Brockers. They just need a couple of safeties who have the speed to run sideline to sideline and make quarterbacks hold onto to the ball for a fraction of a second longer. Thomas avg. 2.77 impacts play a game last year, top among this safety class. 

    17. Pittsburgh, Matt Elam, SS, Florida: Troy Polamalu and Ryan Clark is not getting any younger and Matt Elam is the tough, physical defensive player that Dick LeBeau coverts from his safeties. Elam averaged 1.45 impact plays a game during his career at Florida. 

    18. Dallas, Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri: Dallas finished 19th in pass defense last season. Only a starter for two seasons, Richardson averaged 1.52 impact plays per game throughout his career. A natural pass rusher who utilizes his speed more than strength to get up field.

    19. New York Giants, Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU: The Giants could be a team that moves up the draft boards to select one of the top offensive tackles.  If they stay here look for them to go after the top rated inside linebacker Kevin Minter.

    20. Chicago, Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford: The Bears upgraded the offensive line in free agency, and will look to add some depth later on in the draft.  Zach Ertz could be the key to elevating the Bears offense from a good unit to a dominant one. He has good hands, is a solid route runner and took on the leadership role once Andrew Luck left Stanford.

    21. Cincinnati, DJ Hayden, CB, Houston: For once in a long time the Bengals can take the position of drafting the best player available. Hayden who doesn’t lack the confidence and swagger needed to play the corner position in the NFL. He has been a play-maker throughout his career he averaged 3.34 impact plays a game.

    22. St. Louis, Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor: A luxury draft pick, the Rams need a bigger target on the outside that can stretch the field and that is exactly what Williams does best. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Rams went with Robert Woods here as well.

    23. Minnesota, Kawann Short, DT, Purdue: Short leads all defensive interior linemen in this year’s draft class with 19.5 career sacks. A player is has a lot to learn in terms of playing against the run, but someone who can collapse the pocket in a hurry. He averaged 2.23 impact plays per game throughout his career. 

    24. Indianapolis, Alex Okafor, DE, Texas: The loss of Dwight Freeney opens a hole opposite of Robert Mathis. Okafor primarily rushed from the stand up position versus having his hand down on the ground. Colts has a dismal pass rush last season, look for them to address this with multiple picks during the draft.

    25. Minnesota, Robert Woods, WR, USC: The Vikings don’t have many offensive weapons with the exception of Adrian Peterson. Woods is the precise route runner that Christian Ponder or Matt Cassel will enjoy throwing to. He won’t be an elite wideout but he will be a consistent performer in the mold of Hines Ward. 

    26. Green Bay, Barrett Jones, C, Alabama: This is a pick that makes too much sense for it not to work. The Packers have a need at the center position and Jones is the best center to come out in the draft in the last 10 years. A consistent producer who fits the Packers mold.

    27. Houston, Sio Moore, OLB, UConn: Though a bit undersized, he will be playing for a defense that has the hogs up front that can occupy blockers and allow him to use his speed to get after the QB. In 37 career games he had 16 sacks, am avg. of 2.30 impact plays per game.

    28. Denver, Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU: Having already provided Peyton Manning with another weapon with the addition of Wes Welker. The Broncos will look to bolster their defensive line. Montgomery excels against the run and has a decent bag of pass rush moves. 

    29. New England, Jamar Taylor, CB, Boise State: In need of offense, they can afford to wait and select a few wideouts in the second round. Taylor is the type of corner Belichick will love, he is a physical corner who can shut down a wide receiver once he gets his hands on them. 

    30. Atlanta, Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame: Might as well start planning for the future. The John Mackey award winner will get a season to learn from the best, while at the same time running an offense formation with White and Jones split out wide with Eifert and Gonzales lined up inside, is a defense worst nightmare.  

    31. San Francisco, Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama: Last year’s draft class barely saw the field last season, they don’t have a lot of needs. Jesse Williams is a versatile defensive lineman who can slide up and down the lineman. He stout against the run and can hold his ground against two or three offensive leaning on him.

    32. Baltimore, Khaseem Greene, ILB, Rutgers: The loss of Ray Lewis, Paul Kruger, Danell Ellerbe and Ed Reed, leaves a big void in the middle of the Ravens defense. Greene is a former safety turned tackling machine inside linebacker. He has a smaller frame, but the speed and agility to slip blockers. A vocal leader for a team that will need a few more leaders.

    2013 NFL Draft Content Schedule:

    Initial First Round Mock Draft 

    February 5

    Statistical and Biographical Info on all Prospects

    February 19

    Update Positional Reports (through 2012)

    February 19

    2013 QB Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 5

    2013 RB Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 7

    2013 WR/TE Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 12

    2013 OT Rankings/Top 5

    March 14

    2013 Guard Rankings/Top 5

    March 19

    2013 Center Rankings/Top 5

    March 21

    2013 Defensive Tackle Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 26

    2013 Pass Rusher Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 28

    2013 ILB Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    April 2

    2013 Cornerbacks/Top 5/Projections

    April 4

    2013 Safeties/Top 5/Projections

    April 9

    Update Mock Draft (and/or top 100 list)

    April 11

    Pre-Draft Thoughts and Observations Blog

    April 16

    Pre-Draft Thoughts and Observations Blog

    April 23

    Rookie and Class Rankings

    May 2

    Team Evaluations

    May 2

     

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