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    Bessire: RB Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, General Manager, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 10/14/2014 10:06 AM ET

    Projections for every ranked running back are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2013 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections). See biographical and statistical data on each RB prospect here

    This year, I have added an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player that is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. In the score, a seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star. As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process leveraged for 2013 below (independent of actual drafting teams), the top five running backs last season had scores of: Trent Richardson (9.0), Vick Ballard (7.6), LaMichael James (7.1), Robert Turbin (7.1) and David Wilson (7.1). 

    RB 2013 Projected Data

    Rank Player Rushes Rush Yds YPC Rec. Rec. Yds Score
    1 Giovani Bernard 233.0 1,044.2 4.5 54.5 447.2 8.7
    2 Eddie Lacy 232.0 1,065.0 4.6 24.6 152.3 7.4
    3 Kenjon Barner 239.1 1,033.7 4.3 27.2 239.7 7.4
    4 Montee Ball 291.0 1,164.7 4.0 21.5 166.8 7.1
    5 Joseph Randle 266.6 1,048.3 3.9 34.4 261.4 7.1
    6 Johnathan Franklin 236.9 976.4 4.1 32.9 257.0 7.0
    7 Zac Stacy 241.8 992.2 4.1 21.6 225.1 6.8
    8 Le'Veon Bell 306.4 1,088.0 3.6 35.2 227.9 6.6
    9 Kerwynn Williams 197.6 812.2 4.1 41.1 368.0 6.5
    10 Stepfan Taylor 277.2 1,010.1 3.6 38.3 274.8 6.4
    11 Stefphon Jefferson 300.9 1,069.6 3.6 27.9 193.5 6.1
    12 Rex Burkhead 227.0 943.0 4.2 26.5 190.0 6.1
    13 Marcus Lattimore 247.9 913.1 3.7 39.1 300.3 6.0
    14 Knile Davis 217.0 912.5 4.2 23.7 229.0 6.0
    15 Andre Ellington 243.3 950.9 3.9 24.1 234.2 6.0
    16 Miguel Maysonet 268.0 1,039.0 3.9 16.8 128.8 6.0
    17 Cierre Wood 216.1 943.7 4.4 20.1 133.1 5.8
    18 Deonte Williams 255.7 1,010.6 4.0 20.0 122.0 5.8
    19 C.j. Anderson 211.9 878.3 4.1 24.7 222.8 5.7
    20 Mike Gillislee 249.2 953.6 3.8 23.9 194.8 5.7
    21 Latavius Murray 240.9 891.3 3.7 32.2 238.8 5.5
    22 D.J. Harper 241.2 903.9 3.7 28.6 198.3 5.5
    23 Dennis Johnson 213.6 848.6 4.0 30.9 212.5 5.5
    24 Theo Riddick 227.5 829.1 3.6 38.6 325.2 5.5
    25 Akeem Shavers 231.5 840.7 3.6 25.8 299.0 5.5
    26 Robbie Rouse 230.7 825.1 3.6 52.3 345.9 5.4
    27 Orwin Smith 163.8 717.4 4.4 26.5 231.3 5.3
    28 Zac Line 268.9 905.2 3.4 34.9 232.9 5.1
    29 Chris Thompson 183.3 748.5 4.1 32.9 242.8 5.1
    30 Christine Michael 205.9 806.7 3.9 21.4 153.9 5.0
    31 Kendial Lawrence 241.5 870.3 3.6 26.5 176.8 5.0
    32 Michael Ford 187.8 783.0 4.2 15.9 147.1 5.0
    33 Eric Stephens Jr. 196.2 780.6 4.0 26.2 172.8 4.9
    34 Montel Harris 260.7 906.6 3.5 23.5 161.9 4.9
    35 Ray Graham 220.7 782.0 3.5 37.6 281.8 4.8
    36 Onterio McCalebb 154.7 669.1 4.3 27.2 202.6 4.7
    37 Mike James 217.7 749.8 3.4 34.4 297.6 4.6
    38 John White 243.7 850.4 3.5 26.1 182.3 4.6
    39 Isi Sofele 221.2 826.8 3.7 19.2 145.5 4.6
    40 Washaun Ealey 245.9 776.4 3.2 30.5 238.2 4.4
    41 Deleon Eskridge 242.1 795.8 3.3 31.8 197.3 4.3
    42 Trabis Ward 302.9 866.8 2.9 29.9 225.1 4.3
    43 Ralph Bolden 177.9 696.8 3.9 22.5 188.2 4.3
    44 Joe Glendening 279.9 851.5 3.0 26.0 160.5 4.3
    45 Jamaine Cook 290.8 849.8 2.9 29.3 182.6 4.1
    46 Cameron Marshall 215.5 724.6 3.4 23.7 174.4 4.1
    47 Jawan Jamison 262.6 777.9 3.0 31.7 255.8 4.0
    48 Spencer Ware 200.3 642.0 3.2 26.9 243.0 3.6
    49 Walter Kazee 200.5 656.5 3.3 19.6 127.8 3.3
    50 Jordan Brown 250.2 706.4 2.8 26.1 153.7 3.2
    51 Kenny Miles 173.0 513.6 3.0 27.1 208.6 2.7

     

    2013 NFL Draft Content Schedule:

    Initial First Round Mock Draft 

    February 5

    Statistical and Biographical Info on all Prospects

    February 19

    Update Positional Reports (through 2012)

    February 19

    2013 QB Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 5

    2013 RB Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 7

    2013 WR/TE Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 12

    2013 OT Rankings/Top 5

    March 14

    2013 Guard Rankings/Top 5

    March 19

    2013 Center Rankings/Top 5

    March 21

    2013 Defensive Tackle Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 26

    2013 Pass Rusher Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    March 28

    2013 ILB Rankings/Top 5/Projections

    April 2

    2013 Cornerbacks/Top 5/Projections

    April 4

    2013 Safeties/Top 5/Projections

    April 9

    Update Mock Draft (and/or top 100 list)

    April 11

    Pre-Draft Thoughts and Observations Blog

    April 16

    Pre-Draft Thoughts and Observations Blog

    April 23

    Rookie and Class Rankings

    May 2

    Team Evaluations

    May 2

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