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    Bessire: Pass Rush Projs.

    by Paul Bessire, General Manager, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 1/18/2015 8:58 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked defensive end and outside linebacker are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2014 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done. See biographical and statistical data on each DE and OLB prospect here.

    Again this year, we have included an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five defensive ends had scores of: Damontre Moore (9.2), Tank Carradine (8.8), Alex Okafor (8.2), Bjoern Werner (8.1) and John Simon (7.9).

    Defensive End 2014 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL Score
    1 Jadeveon Clowney 56.8 7.6 14.0 9.3
    2 Jackson Jeffcoat 66.0 8.9 12.2 8.9
    3 Demarcus Lawrence 53.8 7.8 11.8 8.4
    4 Trent Murphy 51.8 9.7 12.9 8.3
    5 Scott Crichton 47.6 6.9 12.9 8.1
    6 Kareem Martin 62.6 6.9 11.4 8.1
    7 Morgan Breslin 40.5 9.9 13.5 7.8
    8 Marcus Smith 39.7 8.5 9.5 7.0
    9 Kony Ealy 46.3 6.1 9.5 6.9
    10 Ethan Westbrooks 28.5 9.8 11.8 6.8
    11 Michael Sam 41.8 6.6 9.1 6.5
    12 Will Clarke 49.3 4.6 9.7 6.5
    13 Larry Webster 31.0 9.4 9.9 6.3
    14 Kasim Edebali 54.5 4.6 7.0 6.3
    15 Taylor Hart 61.9 4.1 5.2 6.3
    16 Chris Smith 41.9 7.2 8.5 6.3
    17 Dee Ford 36.7 7.3 8.5 6.1
    18 Garrison Smith 56.1 3.9 5.8 6.0
    19 Chidera Uzo-Diribe 42.6 4.6 7.2 6.0
    20 James Gayle 41.9 5.3 7.8 5.8
    21 Josh Mauro 45.5 3.8 7.0 5.6
    22 Cassius Marsh 48.8 4.1 5.7 5.5
    23 Aaron Lynch 34.5 5.2 8.1 5.5
    24 Ben Gardner 32.7 5.3 7.9 5.4
    25 Kerry Wynn 45.0 3.4 5.1 5.0
    26 Chaz Sutton 36.0 3.2 5.9 4.9
    27 Ed Stinson 41.8 2.3 3.7 4.4
    28 Jeoffrey Pagan 38.3 2.5 3.7 4.3
    29 Ethan Hemer 19.7 1.4 2.2 2.6

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five outside linebackers had scores of: Jarvis Jones (9.0), Sio Moore (8.2), Khaseem Greene (8.1), Jamie Collins (7.9) and Chase Thomas (7.4).

    Outside Linebacker 2014 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL Score
    1 Khalil Mack 77.4 7.4 13.3 9.4
    2 Ryan Shazier 98.8 5.0 12.2 9.3
    3 Anthony Barr 60.8 9.2 14.0 9.3
    4 Chris Young 84.4 5.2 11.3 8.2
    5 Jonathan Brown 92.4 4.6 10.2 8.1
    6 Nikita Whitlock 71.1 6.3 11.4 7.9
    7 Trevor Reilly 79.3 6.4 9.4 7.8
    8 Carl Bradford 54.4 7.0 11.9 7.5
    9 Kyle Van Noy 58.3 5.2 11.3 7.4
    10 Shaquil Barrett 59.8 6.6 9.4 7.1
    11 Denicos Allen 72.0 4.8 9.5 7.0
    12 Tyler Starr 45.5 7.0 8.9 6.9
    13 Jeremiah Attaochu 46.6 8.7 9.8 6.8
    14 Kevin Pierre-Louis 86.3 3.8 6.5 6.7
    15 Anthony Hitchens 83.2 2.0 6.8 6.4
    16 Steven Jenkins 88.1 2.1 5.1 6.4
    17 Andrew Wilson 86.9 1.3 5.1 6.3
    18 Marquis Flowers 75.7 2.3 7.1 6.3
    19 Xavius Boyd 68.5 3.8 6.9 6.1
    20 Christian Kirksey 80.4 2.5 4.0 5.9
    21 Jordam Zuwalt 75.6 1.4 5.8 5.9
    22 Shaun Lewis 63.6 1.7 6.6 5.8
    23 Telvin Smith 67.5 2.4 6.4 5.8
    24 Brad Daly 34.8 7.7 9.0 5.7
    25 Marcus Whitfield 45.2 5.7 8.0 5.7
    26 Jayrone Elliott 51.0 5.2 6.5 5.7
    27 Devon Kennard 51.5 5.1 7.0 5.6
    28 Derrell Johnson 54.7 4.6 6.9 5.6
    29 Lamin Barrow 73.8 1.8 4.4 5.5
    30 Deontae Skinner 64.2 1.6 4.9 5.3
    31 Brandon Denmark 40.1 3.7 7.6 5.3
    32 Jonathan Newsome 48.2 5.1 6.2 5.2
    33 Brandon Watts 59.0 2.8 4.0 5.1
    34 Christian Jones 53.0 2.5 5.7 5.0
    35 Joseph Thomas 52.8 2.9 6.1 5.0
    36 Boseko Lokombo 54.1 2.8 4.8 5.0
    37 Prince Shembo 45.2 5.0 5.2 4.9
    38 Carl Fleming 53.2 2.3 5.7 4.9
    39 Ronald Powell 37.7 4.7 6.5 4.9
    40 Carlos Fields 48.3 2.1 5.7 4.9
    41 Adrian Hubbard 38.2 3.9 5.7 4.8
    42 Corey Nelson 52.6 2.7 4.9 4.8
    43 Dorian Bell 39.9 3.1 5.3 4.7
    44 Khairi Fortt 59.0 1.8 4.1 4.7
    45 Jordan Tripp 44.1 2.5 4.8 4.4
    46 Chris McCain 44.3 2.5 4.6 4.4
    47 Nate Askew 42.6 2.4 4.6 4.2
    48 Jamal Merrell 42.1 2.5 3.8 4.1
    49 Joe Windsor 30.9 3.2 4.7 3.8
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