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    Bessire: Safety Ranks and Projs.

    by Paul Bessire, General Manager, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 1/18/2015 8:58 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked defensive end and outside linebacker are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2014 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done. See biographical and statistical data on each safety prospect here.

    Again this year, we have included an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top safeties had scores of: Phillip Thomas (8.1), Matt Elam (8.0), John Cyprien (7.4), Joshua Hill (7.4), Earl Wolff (7.3), Kenny Vaccaro (7.3).

    Safeties 2014 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles INTs PBUs Score
    1 Deone Bucannon 95.9 3.9 4.9 8.5
    2 Jimmie Ward 76.6 3.8 8.0 8.5
    3 Ha Ha Clinton-Dix 72.2 3.0 6.6 8.4
    4 Tre Boston 80.4 3.5 7.1 8.3
    5 Kenny Ladler 85.1 3.4 4.1 7.8
    6 Calvin Pryor 81.0 2.8 5.2 7.8
    7 Ty Zimmerman 81.5 3.1 4.9 7.8
    8 Jemea Thomas 76.1 2.0 7.3 7.7
    9 C.J. Barnett 77.1 2.9 5.6 7.7
    10 Daytawion Lowe 80.9 1.8 6.4 7.7
    11 Daniel Sorensen 60.2 1.9 9.7 7.6
    12 Alden Darby 64.5 2.9 7.3 7.5
    13 Darwin Cook 80.1 3.1 3.9 7.4
    14 Dion Bailey 64.4 3.7 5.7 7.3
    15 Ahmad Dixon 79.0 1.3 5.6 7.2
    16 Ed Reynolds 75.4 2.0 4.5 7.0
    17 Isaiah Lewis 57.5 2.0 7.2 6.9
    18 Craig Loston 66.3 2.9 3.9 6.8
    19 Avery Patterson 66.6 2.2 5.4 6.8
    20 Sean Parker 66.0 3.1 4.0 6.7
    21 Nat Berhe 77.3 0.8 5.3 6.6
    22 Brock Vereen 59.8 1.3 6.6 6.5
    23 C.B. Bryant 57.1 1.8 6.5 6.5
    24 Hakeem Smith 56.3 2.1 5.6 6.4
    25 Terrence Brooks 52.1 1.8 5.2 6.0
    26 Maurice Alexander 64.5 1.0 4.9 6.0
    27 Mark Joyce 61.7 1.8 2.8 5.7
    28 A.J. Marshall 62.2 1.5 2.6 5.5
    29 Vinnie Sunseri 36.0 2.1 4.6 5.4
    30 Dexter Moody 42.2 3.1 4.1 5.4
    31 Dez Southward 44.1 1.1 4.9 5.3
    32 Jerry Gates 58.3 1.4 2.8 5.2
    33 Demetrius Wright 46.6 0.5 2.6 4.5
    34 Stephen Obeng-Agyapong 38.0 1.1 2.1 4.2
    35 AJ Highsmith 28.6 1.2 3.4 4.0
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