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    Bessire: DT Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 2/25/2016 7:35 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked defensive tackle are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2015 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections).

    Below, we include an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five defensive ends were Aaron Donald (9.4), Caraun Reid (7.8), Will Sutton (7.5), Jack Bromley (7.5) and Stephon Tuitt (7.4). That class was top heavy with one standout. This class is also top heavy, but there are a couple of first round talents in the mix.

    Defensive Tackle 2015 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL FF Score
    1 Leonard Williams 68.3 6.4 8.2 2.3 9.5
    2 Danny Shelton 68.7 4.9 9.3 0.4 8.8
    3 Malcom Brown 58.8 4.3 8.7 1.6 8.1
    4 Michael Bennett 38.9 5.4 8.9 2.4 7.9
    5 Darius Philon 45.2 4.2 8.5 1.4 7.8
    6 Grady Jarrett 44.7 2.3 7.5 1.6 7.8
    7 Jordan Phillips 40.5 2.6 5.6 0.9 7.6
    8 Terry Williams 38.6 1.9 5.5 2.0 7.4
    9 Louis Trinca-Pasat 59.2 4.4 8.3 0.4 7.4
    10 James Castleman 45.9 2.7 6.0 0.5 7.3
    11 Chucky Hunter 42.7 3.1 6.8 1.1 7.2
    12 Xavier Cooper 43.3 5.0 8.5 0.8 7.1
    13 Xavier Williams 40.9 3.5 5.8 0.7 7.1
    14 Rakeem Nunez-Roches 51.6 2.6 9.4 0.5 7.0
    15 Eddie Goldman 36.9 3.5 5.9 1.0 6.9
    16 Leon Orr 38.4 1.8 4.5 1.7 6.8
    17 David Parry 36.9 3.5 6.0 0.4 6.7
    18 Bobby Richardson 40.8 4.5 7.3 0.6 6.6
    19 Travis Raciti 57.1 3.3 5.3 0.8 6.5
    20 Christian Covington 39.5 4.4 5.9 0.6 6.3
    21 Darious Cummings 36.6 2.5 4.8 0.6 6.2
    22 DeShawn Williams 29.8 2.6 5.7 0.4 6.2
    23 Desmond Jackson 37.3 1.8 2.1 2.4 6.1
    24 Quayshawne Buckley 40.4 3.8 9.8 0.4 6.1
    25 Leterrius Walton 33.8 2.4 4.0 1.0 6.0
    26 Carl Davis 37.5 2.2 6.3 0.4 6.0
    27 Darius Kilgo 42.1 2.5 6.0 0.4 6.0
    28 Derrick Lott 35.4 3.1 5.7 0.6 5.9
    29 Angelo Blackson 26.9 2.6 5.0 0.7 5.7
    30 Joey Mbu 35.5 2.4 4.1 0.4 5.6
    31 Luther Maddy 35.4 2.8 3.7 0.5 5.6
    32 Ellis McCarthy 28.5 3.1 3.3 1.0 5.5
    33 J.T. Surratt 37.8 1.9 4.4 0.4 5.5
    34 Kaleb Eulls 38.0 2.6 3.3 0.4 5.5
    35 Warren Herring 28.8 1.2 3.1 1.2 5.4
    36 Cameron Botticelli 32.9 2.6 6.2 0.4 5.4
    37 Ethan Farmer 42.5 2.2 4.6 0.5 5.3
    38 Patrick Mertens 38.6 2.6 4.3 0.5 5.3
    39 Brandon Ivory 24.2 1.1 1.9 0.4 5.2
    40 Gabe Wright 31.9 2.2 4.8 0.5 5.2
    41 Marques Johnson 28.6 1.2 1.7 0.4 5.0
    42 Kalafitoni Pole 25.9 1.7 2.9 0.5 4.9
    43 Jeffrey Whitaker 19.7 1.1 2.2 0.5 4.2
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