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    Bessire: Safety Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 5/1/2016 1:00 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked safety are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2016 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections).

    Below, we include an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five safeties were Anthony Harris (8.2), Kurtis Drummond (8.2), James Sample (8.1), Landon Collins (8.0) and Damarious Randall (8.0). In other words, it was not a very good class. This year's class is not great eit, Jeremy Cash tops the all-time score leader from previous seasons (2012-15), Deone Bucannon, who had registered an 8.5 rating in 2014.

    Safety 2016 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles INTs PBUs Score
    1 Jeremy Cash 101.7 2.5 4.2 8.8
    2 Clayton Fejedelem 104.5 2.2 5.9 8.3
    3 Karl Joseph 71.3 4.2 4.8 8.0
    4 Darian Thompson 69.2 5.6 6.6 7.9
    5 Miles Killebrew 87.3 1.1 6.6 7.9
    6 Michael Caputo 67.4 3.2 7.1 7.8
    7 DeAndre Houston-Carson 64.3 2.5 9.0 7.6
    8 A.J. Stamps 69.7 2.1 6.6 7.5
    9 Kevin Byard 67.1 3.7 7.2 7.3
    10 Trae Elston 64.4 2.8 6.4 6.7
    11 Vonn Bell 58.5 2.6 5.1 6.3
    12 Derrick Kindred 62.7 2.6 4.4 6.2
    13 Kavon Fraizer 75.5 1.2 4.1 6.1
    14 Jayron Kearse 60.3 2.0 4.3 6.1
    15 KJ Dillon 52.7 1.8 5.6 6.0
    16 Justin Simmons 67.4 4.1 2.6 5.9
    17 Jalen Mills 60.1 0.9 5.9 5.9
    18 Trent Mathews 68.0 2.4 3.9 5.9
    19 Jamal Golden 64.3 1.6 4.5 5.8
    20 Jordan Simone 81.5 2.1 2.8 5.8
    21 Sean Davis 70.3 2.2 3.5 5.6
    22 Deon Bush 56.3 1.4 4.3 5.4
    23 Jamie Byrd 66.2 2.3 2.5 5.3
    24 Tyvis Powell 52.8 2.7 3.3 5.1
    25 Tevin Carter 53.7 2.7 3.2 5.0
    26 Doug Middleton 60.4 1.2 2.1 5.0
    27 T.J. Green 68.7 1.0 1.7 4.9
    28 Keanu Neal 69.4 1.5 1.2 4.9
    29 Jordan Lucas 53.0 0.6 3.7 4.7
    30 Elijah Shumate 58.2 1.1 2.2 4.7
    31 Jordan Lomax 54.9 1.0 2.9 4.5
    32 Lamarcus Brutus 49.9 2.4 1.5 4.2

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