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    Bessire: Safety Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 2/25/2016 7:35 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked safety are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2015 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections).

    Below, we include an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five safeties were Deone Bucannon (8.5), Jimmie Ward (8.5), Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (8.4), Tre Boston (8.3) and Calvin Pryor (7.8).

    Safety 2015 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles INTs PBUs Score
    1 Anthony Harris 90.6 2.3 8.4 8.2
    2 Kurtis Drummond 69.3 3.5 9.6 8.2
    3 James Sample 84.0 3.4 7.7 8.1
    4 Landon Collins 88.2 2.5 6.5 8.0
    5 Damarious Randall 90.4 2.7 7.5 8.0
    6 Clayton Geathers 85.7 1.0 8.1 7.8
    7 Ibraheim Campbell 86.4 3.9 6.0 7.8
    8 Chris Hackett 76.1 5.4 6.3 7.7
    9 Dean Marloew 72.4 2.9 8.4 7.4
    10 Ronald Martin 65.2 2.0 8.0 7.3
    11 Anthony Jefferson 67.5 1.2 8.0 7.2
    12 Ryan Murphy 67.1 1.5 7.3 7.0
    13 Erick Dargan 72.0 4.7 5.1 7.0
    14 Kyshoen Jarrett 79.2 2.3 4.7 6.9
    15 John Lowdermilk 87.7 2.3 3.1 6.8
    16 Jordan Richards 72.0 2.6 5.4 6.8
    17 Tra'Mayne Bondurant 76.0 2.2 4.3 6.7
    18 Isaiah Johnson 73.6 1.4 4.7 6.6
    19 Derron Smith 72.2 1.7 5.4 6.5
    20 Gerod Holliman 46.2 10.5 3.7 6.5
    21 Brian Blechen 63.4 1.7 5.9 6.4
    22 Detrick Bonner 66.0 1.3 5.2 6.4
    23 Sam Carter 54.9 3.7 5.5 6.3
    24 Cody Prewitt 69.0 3.1 3.3 6.3
    25 Durell Eskridge 72.1 1.5 3.5 6.1
    26 Cedric Thompson 77.9 1.9 2.4 6.1
    27 Adrian Amos 44.5 2.5 6.8 6.1
    28 Daniel Fitzpatrick 57.9 2.6 5.9 6.0
    29 Jaquiski Tartt 64.0 1.6 5.4 5.9
    30 Dechane Durante 68.0 3.0 3.1 5.8
    31 Mark Murphy 65.1 1.9 2.9 5.7
    32 Tevin McDonald 51.7 1.8 6.1 5.7
    33 Justin Cox 37.2 1.6 6.0 5.6
    34 Jermaine Whitehead 59.0 1.3 3.0 5.5
    35 Serderius Bryant 68.2 1.0 1.7 5.5
    36 Corey Cooper 71.3 1.1 1.5 5.4
    37 Damian Parms 69.1 0.4 1.8 5.0
    38 Keeston Terry 54.5 0.8 3.3 4.8
    39 Fritz Etienne 42.8 2.4 2.9 4.7
    40 Corey Moore 32.0 1.2 2.4 4.2
    41 Jarrick Williams 24.4 0.4 1.3 3.5
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