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    Bessire: DT Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 5/1/2016 1:00 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked defensive tackle are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2016 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections).

    Below, we include an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five defensive tackles had scores of: Leonard Williams (9.5), Danny Shelton (8.8), Malcom Brown (8.1), Michael Bennett (7.9) and Darius Philon (7.8). Williams graded as the best overall prospect in the draft, yet just three prospects at the position (who all went in the first round) projected to be above average NFL starters. Jonathan Bullard is not the top prospect in the draft, but he is in the Top 5 overall prospects and the top nine players on the board all rank within the Top 50 overall prospects - all above average future NFL players. Interior defensive linemen is an area of strong depth in this draft.

    DT 2016 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL Score
    1 Jonathan Bullard 73.8 7.1 9.7 9.3
    2 Jarran Reed 67.2 3.1 6.0 8.8
    3 Sheldon Rankins 52.7 7.0 8.7 8.6
    4 Sheldon Day 57.4 5.0 10.0 8.5
    5 A'Shawn Robinson 49.5 4.3 6.8 8.5
    6 Austin Johnson 58.7 6.0 8.3 8.5
    7 Adolphus Washington 49.8 5.4 7.1 8.2
    8 Andrew Billings 48.0 4.9 9.9 8.1
    9 Javon Hargrave 33.5 7.5 9.5 8.1
    10 Kenny Clark 58.4 5.0 7.2 7.9
    11 Robert Nkemdiche 49.8 4.8 8.1 7.8
    12 Chris Jones 51.8 5.0 7.2 7.8
    13 Vernon Butler 50.9 3.3 7.8 7.6
    14 Anthony Zettel 43.4 4.6 8.3 7.2
    15 Matt Ioannidis 42.1 4.4 8.2 7.2
    16 Hassan Ridgeway 51.7 5.5 6.1 7.2
    17 Quinton Jefferson 39.5 5.1 6.6 7.2
    18 Connor Wujciak 31.1 3.7 4.8 7.0
    19 Maliek Collins 35.9 4.2 6.7 6.8
    20 Willie Henry 35.9 5.7 6.3 6.8
    21 Darius Latham 39.7 5.0 6.8 6.7
    22 A.J. Zuttah 33.8 2.1 3.9 6.5
    23 Nile Lawrence-Stample 47.9 3.1 3.0 6.4
    24 Adam Gotsis 40.6 4.5 5.9 6.4
    25 D.J. Reader 40.2 2.9 3.4 6.1
    26 Antwaun Woods 37.0 3.6 3.9 5.9
    27 Luther Maddy 36.5 3.3 5.3 5.9
    28 Devaunte Sigler 26.5 2.7 3.9 5.8
    29 Vincent Valentine 22.5 4.5 4.5 5.6
    30 Chris Mayes 43.1 1.2 2.1 5.6
    31 Lawrence Thomas 30.2 3.1 3.0 5.5
    32 Joel Heath 28.1 3.2 3.3 5.4

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