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    Bessire: Pass Rush Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 5/1/2016 1:00 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked defensive end and outside linebacker are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2016 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections).

    Below, we include an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five pass rushers were Vic Beasley (9.2), Nate Orchard (8.9), Dante Fowler (8.7) and Bud Dupree (8.6). This may not be as strong as the all-time great class of 2014, but it is close and tops last season by a wide margin.

    Defensive End 2016 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL Score
    1 DeForest Buckner 56.8 7.0 8.1 9.3
    2 Joey Bosa 50.8 7.7 12.9 9.1
    3 Shaq Lawson 41.7 8.7 11.6 8.9
    4 Emmanuel Ogbah 42.0 9.2 10.1 8.8
    5 Bronson Kaufusi 49.4 7.3 8.5 8.4
    6 Carl Nassib 41.4 8.8 7.3 8.1
    7 Noah Spence 40.3 6.7 10.5 7.7
    8 James Cowser 42.4 6.9 10.8 7.6
    9 Shawn Oakman 38.3 5.7 11.7 7.4
    10 Shilique Calhoun 33.9 7.1 8.4 7.2
    11 Kevin Dodd 40.8 7.0 7.7 7.2
    12 Matt Judon 34.3 6.4 8.1 6.3
    13 Dadi Nicolas 39.1 4.3 7.9 6.3
    14 Dean Lowry 40.6 3.9 6.8 6.2
    15 Mehdi Abdesmad 44.4 5.9 6.0 6.1
    16 Charles Tapper 39.8 5.2 6.2 6.0
    17 Victor Ochi 31.8 5.8 7.6 5.8
    18 Yannick Ngakoue 25.2 7.6 7.7 5.7
    19 Drew Ott 25.8 8.1 6.7 5.6
    20 Kamalei Correa 28.4 6.0 6.8 5.6
    21 Alex McCalister 26.5 8.2 6.6 5.6
    22 Ron Thompson 35.4 5.1 5.6 5.3
    23 Jimmy Bean 27.0 4.8 7.4 5.1
    24 Ronald Blair 29.7 3.2 7.1 5.0
    25 Jason Fanaika 38.1 3.2 5.2 4.9
    26 Jihad Ward 44.5 2.8 5.0 4.9
    27 D.J. Pettway 37.3 4.1 4.3 4.9
    28 Romeo Okwara 31.4 4.8 4.4 4.5
    29 Ufomba Kamalu 36.1 2.8 3.7 4.1
    30 Greg Townsend Jr. 32.7 3.0 3.9 4.0
    31 Branden Jackson 29.5 2.3 4.7 3.9
    32 Giorgio Newberry 27.4 2.8 2.0 3.2

    Outside Linebacker 2016 Projected NFL Rookie Stats

    Rank Player Tackles Sacks TFL Score
    1 Leonard Floyd 69.5 6.0 8.7 9.2
    2 Jatavis Brown 63.8 6.9 7.5 8.5
    3 Jaylon Smith 94.5 2.0 7.4 8.4
    4 Myles Jack 81.0 2.0 9.1 8.4
    5 Joe Schobert 48.9 6.3 8.6 8.3
    6 Darron Lee 52.6 5.3 10.2 8.0
    7 Ejiro Ederaine 56.3 6.7 9.7 7.8
    8 Jordan Jenkins 60.8 5.5 8.3 7.8
    9 Eric Striker 47.2 6.4 9.4 7.4
    10 Ian Seau 33.5 7.1 8.3 7.4
    11 Kyler Fackrell 51.1 3.8 8.2 7.4
    12 Su'a Cravens 55.9 4.5 8.6 7.3
    13 Eddie Yarbrough 44.3 5.5 7.4 6.7
    14 Steve Longa 82.0 2.6 4.6 6.6
    15 Travis Feeney 54.4 5.8 6.5 6.6
    16 T.T. Barber 61.3 2.9 6.3 6.5
    17 Curt Maggitt 54.3 3.5 8.3 6.5
    18 Montese Overton 48.1 6.0 7.1 6.2
    19 Beniquez Brown 68.1 3.7 6.1 6.2
    20 Gionni Paul 63.7 2.4 5.6 6.1
    21 Stephen Weatherly 42.8 4.4 7.7 6.1
    22 Antwione Williams 42.5 2.1 4.0 6.0
    23 De'Vondre Campbell 66.4 3.1 4.7 5.9
    24 Kris Frost 64.8 1.8 4.5 5.8
    25 B.J. Goodson 61.9 3.7 4.6 5.8
    26 Devante Bond 58.6 3.1 5.9 5.8
    27 Cory Littleton 44.9 5.2 5.7 5.7
    28 Deion Jones 60.7 3.4 4.9 5.5
    29 Cole Fisher 63.9 2.3 2.6 4.9

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