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    Bessire: WR Ranks and Projections

    by Paul Bessire, PredictionMachine.com
    Last Updated: 5/1/2016 1:00 PM ET
    Projections for every ranked wide receiver are below. Players are ranked based on PredictionMachine.com's 2015 projected statistics for what each player would be expected to do as a 16 game starter on a totally average NFL team against a completely average NFL schedule. Read more about how rankings and projections are done (also includes 2012 rankings and projections).

    Below, we include an impact score (0 - 10 scale) for each player. This score is a relative value based on the projections that can put players in context across positions and draft classes. A score of seven or above can generally outperform a replacement player in the NFL at his position as a rookie; an eight or above can be expected to start adequately and a player with a rating over nine is a unique, standout player who could star.

    As a matter of context, at this time last year, using the same process, the top five wide receivers had scores of: Amari Cooper (9.3), DeVante Parker (8.7), Nelson Agholor (8.3), Devin Smith (8.3) and Tyler Lockett (8.1). This class lacks a clear star like Cooper, yet still has seven prospects who project to be average or better NFL starters and 24 who are better than replacement players at the position.

    Projected NFL Rookie Receiving Stats - 2016

    Rank Player Recs. Rec. Yds YPR Score
    1 Sterling Shepard 85 1,053 12.4 8.8
    2 Corey Coleman 77 981 12.7 8.6
    3 William Fuller 73 974 13.4 8.6
    4 Josh Doctson 84 979 11.7 8.4
    5 Laquon Treadwell 87 956 11.0 8.4
    6 Rashard Higgins 86 948 11.0 8.2
    7 Tyler Boyd 97 906 9.4 8.0
    8 Leonte Carroo 62 855 13.8 7.9
    9 Daniel Braverman 84 876 10.4 7.8
    10 Michael Thomas 74 833 11.3 7.7
    11 Pharoh Cooper 79 830 10.5 7.6
    12 De'Runnya Wilson 79 818 10.4 7.6
    13 Roger Lewis 72 840 11.7 7.5
    14 Tajae Sharpe 95 834 8.8 7.4
    15 Chris Moore 66 803 12.1 7.4
    16 Jordan Payton 78 820 10.5 7.3
    17 Aaron Burbridge 82 808 9.9 7.2
    18 Malcolm Mitchell 75 792 10.5 7.2
    19 Demarcus Ayers 79 800 10.1 7.1
    20 D.J. Foster 88 751 8.6 7.1
    21 Alex Erickson 86 802 9.3 7.1
    22 Hunter Sharp 83 734 8.8 7.0
    23 Keyarris Garrett 75 768 10.2 7.0
    24 Thomas Duarte 65 733 11.2 7.0
    25 Kenny Lawler 73 649 8.9 6.8
    26 Jordan Williams 79 688 8.7 6.7
    27 Johnny Holton 49 673 13.8 6.7
    28 Cayleb Jones 67 712 10.6 6.6
    29 Bralon Addison 69 670 9.7 6.6
    30 Mike Thomas 55 674 12.2 6.6
    31 Ricardo Louis 71 715 10.1 6.6
    32 Geronimo Allison 79 699 8.9 6.6
    33 Nelson Spruce 77 691 9.0 6.6
    34 Canaan Severin 69 682 9.9 6.6
    35 Paul McRoberts 58 634 10.9 6.5
    36 Cody Core 61 691 11.4 6.5
    37 Kolby Listenbee 58 691 11.9 6.5
    38 Jay Lee 54 665 12.4 6.5
    39 Trevor Davis 59 695 11.9 6.5
    40 Quinshad Davis 72 649 9.0 6.4
    41 Rashawn Scott 70 672 9.6 6.4
    42 Mekale McKay 58 651 11.3 6.3
    43 Jaydon Mickens 78 670 8.6 6.3
    44 Jared Dangerfield 76 627 8.3 6.3
    45 Alonzo Russell 66 644 9.8 6.3
    46 Dom Williams 54 606 11.2 6.3
    47 Jamaal Jones 55 626 11.4 6.2
    48 KJ Maye 79 627 8.0 6.2
    49 Demarcus Robinson 70 624 9.0 6.1
    50 Quenton Bundrage 66 599 9.1 6.1
    51 Devon Cajuste 53 592 11.1 6.0
    52 Herb Waters 60 621 10.4 6.0
    53 Charone Peake 64 596 9.3 6.0
    54 Jalin Marshall 59 558 9.4 5.8
    55 Chris Brown 45 529 11.9 5.5
    56 Braxton Miller 60 504 8.5 5.4
    57 Kenneth Scott 57 483 8.5 5.3
    58 Ed Eagan 52 487 9.4 5.2
    59 Byron Marshall 43 431 10.1 5.0
    60 D'haquille Williams 47 436 9.3 4.9
    61 DeAnthony Arnett 39 395 10.2 4.8
    62 Corey Smith 41 419 10.1 4.7
    61 Brandon Swindall 44 350 7.9 4.5
    62 Marquez North 43 319 7.4 4.1

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