New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?

NFL Preview

New York Jets over Green Bay Packers in the Super Bowl (8/5/2010)
Last Updated: 7/25/2011 6:11 PM ET
Football Preview Pages:
Free Over/Under NFL Win Totals
NFL Preview
NFL Fantasy Projections
NFL Power Rankings
Free Over/Under College Win Totals
College Football Preview
College Football Power Rankings
Play the Games
Buy Picks

The Predictalator has already played the 2010 NFL season 50,000 times before it's actually played. The New York Jets win the Super Bowl a league-high 12.9% of the time. The Baltimore Ravens (10.7%), New England Patriots (10.4%), Indianapolis Colts (10.2%) and Green Bay Packers (9.9%) follow the Jets in championship likelihood.

Below, we explain How This Works and breakdown every team division-by-division. In each team's preview, the "Most Important" players are those whose play is most critical to the team's success. Typically, they will be young, injury-prone or inconsistent players who could just as likely play well and help the team as play poorly or miss games to hurt the team. Clearly, the Colts outlook would be completely different without Peyton Manning, but we know what to expect from him and have no reason to think that he will not stay healthy for the whole season. His protector at left tackle though, Charlie Johnson, is a young player who is a key to Manning's ability to find open receivers and an aid to the running game. An improvement from last season could have significant impact on this offense, while a regression would have at least as much impact negatively. Also, the Offensive and Defensive Rankings are based strictly on the output of these seasons with respect to points per game, not the inputs.

To see projected stats and rankings for over 300 players, check out our Fantasy Football Preview. Team stats, total wins futures picks, playoff probabilities and high/low win totals are also available in the Predictalator's NFL Preview.

As we have done with great success with college and professional basketball, we have picks available for every NFL and college game as well. Pick packages include Play Value Calculators and Keys for optimal bankroll management, the ability to play the game yourself using any lines you choose, a unique parlay calculator, the ability to track the Predictalator's success, research trends and comprehensive fantasy projections for every single player. This technology has been used to accurately predict the last seven Super Bowls against the spread and win the inaugural Richard Gardner pro football pick'em contest. Check out the Shop now to learn more.

See: How This Works, Season Summary and Division Previews: AFC East, AFC North, AFC West, AFC South, NFC East, NFC North, NFC West and NFC South

How This Works
Just as the Predictalator plays any individual game 50,000 before it's actually played, it can also play an entire NFL season 50,000 times before it's actually played. That is what we have done for the 2010 NFL season. The actual regular season and playoff schedules have been played 50,000 times, allowing us to compute average records and the likelihoods of a team making the playoffs, winning the division and bringing home the Super Bowl trophy.

In this case, using the Predictalator is not as much of a concern to us as making sure that we have the best possible inputs for players' statistics, progression over time and age, roles, health and playing time as well as teams' coaching styles and weather.

In general, we apply strength-of-schedule-adjusted, relevant statistics from the player's most recent 48 professional games (~3 seasons that are weighted more heavily on the last 16 games) to a fairly traditional player development curve that considers age and previous playing time. Not only does this curve help to set average inputs, it combines with health history to dictate the variance (boom or bust potential) of a player's inputs.

Playing time is more of an art than a science. We have done our best to estimate playing time for all players who are expected to see significant starting time in 2010. That being said, some gaps have been filled in by our best approximations of average bench and role players on teams. This has a very minor impact on average results.

After all of that math and analysis, importing a schedule and running the games 50,000 times each is simple.

Season Summary
Expectations are the highest they have been for the New York Jets since Joe Namath guaranteed a Super Bowl victory. That being said, I'm not sure many would expect a team with a second-year head coach and quarterback to be favored to win it all, but that's where the Jets land in our analysis. Sporting what could easily rank as one of the top ten greatest defenses in NFL history and having improved the offense around a tremendous line (and the aforementioned young QB), the Jets emerge as the most likely Super Bowl champion. New York wins the Super Bowl 12.9% of the 50,000 seasons, while AFC rivals Baltimore, New England and Indianapolis all fall just behind the Jets and within a percent of each other.

No NFC team wins the Super Bowl more than 10% of the time. Green Bay is the best NFC team at 9.9%. The Packers barely lead Dallas (9.4%) before a group of four NFC solid teams including New Orleans, Philadelphia, Atlanta and the New York Giants.

Baltimore is actually the most likely team to make the playoffs at 76.4%. Together, the top five teams win 54.1% of all titles. Dominated by its four elite teams (San Diego is close), the AFC wins 53.4% of all titles. While every team makes the playoffs at least 0.2% of the time, St. Louis never won a Super Bowl.

Looking at these numbers, after a Super Bowl that featured two great offenses, 2010 could be dominated by defenses. The Jets score the 26th most points in the league and win the Super Bowl, while NFC favorite Green Bay, known for its passing game, also has a top ten defense.

Based on the analysis, here is the projected NFL 2010 Playoff bracket. It should be noted however, that this exact bracket only occurred 224 of the 50,000 seasons played by the Predictalator:

AFC

Wild Card Round
#6 Tennessee 20 @ #3 Indianapolis 26
#5 New England 27 @ #5 San Diego 24

Divisional Round
#3 Indianapolis 20 @ #2 Baltimore 23
#5 New England 17 @ #1 New York Jets 20

AFC Championship
#2 Baltimore 14 @ #1 New York Jets 17

NFC

Wild Card Round

#6 Philadelphia 21 @ #3 Dallas 25
#5 Atlanta 21@ #4 San Francisco 20

Divisional Round
#5 Atlanta 26 @ #1 New Orleans 29
#3 Dallas 23 @ #1 Green Bay 26

NFC Championship
#2 Green Bay 26.8 @ #1 New Orleans 26.6

Super Bowl
New York Jets 21 over Green Bay 17

Other Info:
Teams that should surprise (good): Kansas City Chiefs, Tennessee Titans, San Francisco 49ers
Teams that should surprise (bad): San Diego Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, Pittsburgh Steelers
Most Important Player (AFC): Ed Reed, S, Baltimore Ravens
Most Important Player (NFC):
Chad Clifton, OT, Green Bay Packers
Most Important Rookie (AFC):
Kareem Jackson, CB, Houston Texans
Most Important Rookie (NFC):
Trent Williams, OT, Washington Redskins

AFC East Preview
In the last two years, two different teams have won the AFC East and a different one went to the AFC Championship last year. The division is very good. While it's unlikely three AFC East teams will make the playoffs, the Jets and Patriots are both over 70% likely to be in the post-season, making it significantly more likely than not that the AFC East gets two teams in. Miami should fall within a game or two of .500. And we like Buffalo enough to expect the team to cover the five win line the Bills are currently getting. Collectively, the AFC East is 24% likely to win the Super Bowl - by far the best of any division. The AFC East plays the AFC and NFC North, though, given the strength of the division, that's more significant to those teams.

New York Jets
Power Rank: 1
Offensive Rank:
26
Defensive Rank:
1
Projected Record:
11.0 - 5.0
Make Playoffs: 75.4%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Biggest Strength: Defense (One of the Best We've Ever Seen)
Greatest Weakness: Turnovers
Most Important Offensive Player: Mark Sanchez, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Darrelle Revis, CB
Fantasy Stud: Shonn Greene, RB
Fantasy Dud: Santonio Holmes, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Brad Smith, Wildcat

New England Patriots
Power Rank: 3
Offensive Rank:
4
Defensive Rank:
10
Projected Record:
10.0 - 6.0
Make Playoffs: 75.1%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Braintrust of Brady and Belichick
Greatest Weakness: Rush Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Tom Brady, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Darius Butler, CB
Fantasy Stud: Randy Moss, WR
Fantasy Dud: Fred Taylor, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Aaron Hernandez, TE

Miami Dolphins
Power Rank: 16
Offensive Rank:
14
Defensive Rank:
20
Projected Record:
7.8 - 8.2
Make Playoffs: 13.5%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Biggest Strength: Balanced Running Attack
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Brandon Marshall, WR
Most Important Defensive Player: Vontae Davis, CB
Fantasy Stud: Brandon Marshall, WR (Though Not as Good as Recent Years)
Fantasy Dud: Davone Bess, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Lex Hilliard, RB

Buffalo Bills
Power Rank: 24
Offensive Rank:
31
Defensive Rank:
6
Projected Record:
6.6 - 9.4
Make Playoffs: 1.6%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Pass Defense
Greatest Weakness: Quarterback
Most Important Offensive Player: Trent Edwards/Brian Brohm, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Kyle Williams, DT
Fantasy Stud: Fred Jackson, RB
Fantasy Dud: Marshawn Lynch, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Steve Johnson, WR

AFC North Preview
Despite the Bengals recent addition of Terrell Owens (which added 0.3 wins from our previous projections), the Baltimore Ravens are the clear favorites in the AFC North and have the second highest likelihood to win the division of any team (at 57%, behind the Colts at 58%). With or without Ed Reed, Baltimore should be very good, but it's Reed that could make them great and potentially put the Ravens ahead of the Jets in our championship odds. The Bengals are not a good enough offensive team to expect another division title. Pittsburgh has already been marred by suspension and injury. Troy Polamalu means as much to the team as Ben Roethlisberger, so the Steelers trade a partial season of one for a partial season of the other and end up even. Cleveland may have won its last four games of 2009, but the Browns are a mess. Collectively, the AFC North is 14% likely to win the Super Bowl - the only AFC division with three teams that are at least 1% likely to win it all. The AFC North plays the AFC East and NFC South - two divisions that should put two teams in the playoffs.

Baltimore Ravens
Power Rank: 2
Offensive Rank:
10
Defensive Rank:
2
Projected Record:
10.7 - 5.3
Make Playoffs: 76.3%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Biggest Strength: Ray Rice
Greatest Weakness: Age and Health of Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Michael Oher, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Ed Reed, S
Fantasy Stud: Ray Rice, RB
Fantasy Dud: Mark Clayton, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Dennis Pitta, TE

Cincinnati Bengals
Power Rank: 14
Offensive Rank:
24
Defensive Rank:
3
Projected Record:
8.8 - 7.2
Make Playoffs: 43.1%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Biggest Strength: Emerging Defense
Greatest Weakness: Offensive Chemistry (On-Field)
Most Important Offensive Player: Terrell Owens, WR
Most Important Defensive Player: Antwan Odom, DE
Fantasy Stud: Chad Ochocinco, WR
Fantasy Dud: Antonio Bryant, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Bernard Scott, RB

Pittsburgh Steelers
Power Rank: 17
Offensive Rank:
27
Defensive Rank:
4
Projected Record:
7.9 - 8.1
Make Playoffs: 32.2%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Troy Polamalu
Greatest Weakness: Playing Without Ben Roethlisberger and Willie Colon
Most Important Offensive Player: Byron Leftwich, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Troy Polamalu, S
Fantasy Stud: Rashard Mendenhall, RB
Fantasy Dud: Antwaan Randle El, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Jonathan Dwyer, RB

Cleveland Browns
Power Rank: 31
Offensive Rank:
32
Defensive Rank:
31
Projected Record:
3.8 - 12.2
Make Playoffs: 0.3%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Special Teams and Running Game
Greatest Weakness: Everything Else
Most Important Offensive Player: Jake Delhomme/Colt McCoy, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Joe Haden, DB
Fantasy Stud: Jerome Harrison, RB
Fantasy Dud: Mohamed Massaquoi, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Joshua Cribbs, Wildcat/Returner

AFC West Preview
The AFC West may not feature any top ten teams, but it should definitely be competitive this season as the division has clearly compressed. Missing Vincent Jackson for at least three games and LaDainian Tomlinson as a blocker and safety valve (and possible disgruntled tackle Marcus McNeill), the Chargers cannot expect to recreate the tremendous passing attack of 2009. Even with the easiest schedule of any defending division winner, the Chargers should be happy to break .500. Denver had a rollercoaster 2009 and we expect something in between. Kansas City is a sleeper team (and a great pick on the Over 6.5 wins) with young, athletic playmakers on both sides of the ball. Oakland is better too, especially in the passing game. Collectively, the AFC West is just 5% likely to win the Super Bowl - the lowest of any AFC division. The AFC West plays the AFC South and NFC West.

San Diego Chargers
Power Rank: 13
Offensive Rank:
5
Defensive Rank:
23
Projected Record:
8.5 - 7.5
Make Playoffs: 57.3%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Biggest Strength: Passing Offense and Defense (Though Not as Dominant as 2009)
Greatest Weakness: Player Unrest (Could Cost Time from Vincent Jackson, Marcus McNeill, Shawne Merriman, etc.)
Most Important Offensive Player: Vincent Jackson, WR
Most Important Defensive Player: Ryon Bingham, DT
Fantasy Stud: Ryan Mathews, RB
Fantasy Dud: Vincent Jackson, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Legedu Naanee, wr

Denver Broncos
Power Rank: 23
Offensive Rank:
21
Defensive Rank:
8
Projected Record:
8.2 - 7.8
Make Playoffs: 38.1%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Biggest Strength: Pass Defense
Greatest Weakness: Pass Offense
Most Important Offensive Player: Ryan Clady, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Jamal Williams, DT
Fantasy Stud: Knowshon Moreno, RB
Fantasy Dud: Kyle Orton, QB
Fantasy Sleeper: Eric Decker, WR

Kansas City Chiefs
Power Rank: 27
Offensive Rank:
16
Defensive Rank:
25
Projected Record:
7.4 - 8.6
Make Playoffs: 29.6%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Favorable Schedule
Greatest Weakness: Rush Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Dwayne Bowe, WR
Most Important Defensive Player: Eric Berry, S
Fantasy Stud: Jamaal Charles, RB
Fantasy Dud: Chris Chambers, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Tony Moeaki, TE

Oakland Raiders
Power Rank: 26
Offensive Rank:
19
Defensive Rank:
28
Projected Record:
6.7 - 9.3
Make Playoffs: 9.6%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Fresh Offensive Outlook
Greatest Weakness: Being the Raiders (Queue Dennis Green Soundbite)
Most Important Offensive Player: Mario Henderson, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Chris Johnson, CB
Fantasy Stud: Zach Miller, TE
Fantasy Dud: DEF
Fantasy Sleeper: Chaz Schilens, WR

AFC South Preview
Yes, there is still a big gap between the Colts and everyone else. Indianapolis has the highest likelihood of winning its division of any team at 58%. Two observations on the Colts: 1) Bill Polian clearly knows what types of players work and somehow continues to reload on them (Reggie Wayne/Pierre Garcon, Anthony Gonzalez/Austin Collie, Dwight Freeney/Jerry Hughes, etc.) - too bad for him that he can't clone Peyton Manning; 2) the Colts play five 2009 playoff teams - in a row (Eagles, Bengals, Patriots, Chargers, Cowboys from Week 9-13). Look for Tennessee to find a middle ground defensively between 2008 and 2009, while continuing to improve offensively. Houston is fun to watch, yet the Texans weakness - passing defense - became more exploitable without Dunta Robinson. Jack Del Rio seems like a passionate guy, but the Jaguars are not at all inspiring. Collectively, the AFC South is 10% likely to win the Super Bowl - with 80% of that coming from the Colts. The AFC South plays the AFC West and NFC South.

Indianapolis Colts
Power Rank: 4
Offensive Rank:
3
Defensive Rank:
11
Projected Record:
10.0 - 6.0
Make Playoffs: 73.7%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Being the Colts (Queue Dennis Green Soundbite)
Greatest Weakness: Special Teams
Most Important Offensive Player: Charlie Johnson, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Dwight Freeney, DE
Fantasy Stud: Peyton Manning, QB
Fantasy Dud: Adam Vinatieri, K
Fantasy Sleeper: Pierre Garcon, WR

Tennessee Titans
Power Rank: 12
Offensive Rank:
12
Defensive Rank:
14
Projected Record:
8.8 - 7.2
Make Playoffs: 45.9%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Dynamic Rushing Attack
Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense (Though Should Not Be as Bad as 2009)
Most Important Offensive Player: Vince Young, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Jacob Ford, DE
Fantasy Stud: Chris Johnson, RB
Fantasy Dud: Justin Gage, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Jared Cook, TE

Houston Texans
Power Rank: 15
Offensive Rank:
8
Defensive Rank:
26
Projected Record:
7.9 - 8.1
Make Playoffs: 25.5%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 9
Biggest Strength: Passing Offense
Greatest Weakness: Passing Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Antoine Caldwell, OL
Most Important Defensive Player: Kareem Jackson, CB
Fantasy Stud: Andre Johnson, WR
Fantasy Dud: Steve Slaton, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Ben Tate, RB

Jacksonville Jaguars
Power Rank: 25
Offensive Rank:
22
Defensive Rank:
29
Projected Record:
6.4 - 9.6
Make Playoffs: 3.2%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Biggest Strength: Maurice Jones-Drew
Greatest Weakness: Defensive Identity (Or the Whole Team's Identity For that Matter)
Most Important Offensive Player: Eugene Monroe, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Tyson Alualu, DT
Fantasy Stud: Maurice Jones-Drew, RB
Fantasy Dud: Troy Williamson, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Zach Miller, TE

NFC East Preview
The NFC East is the best division in football. Dallas is a legitimate Super Bowl contender, yet may not make the playoffs due to the strength of the Eagles, Giants and even Redskins. Dallas may have the most balanced offense in the league and should challenge the New Orleans Saints to lead the league in scoring. Philadelphia got younger, yet not necessarily any worse. The Giants should look more like 2007 than 2009. They may not repeat last season's excellent downfield passing game, yet should return to a physical style with a great running game and a defense that terrorizes quarterbacks. A coaching and quarterback change and some regression to the mean help the Redskins compete. Collectively, the NFC East is 17% likely to win the Super Bowl - best in the NFC and the only NFL division with three team teams more than 1% likely to win it all. The NFC East plays the NFC North and AFC South.

Dallas Cowboys
Power Rank: 6
Offensive Rank:
2
Defensive Rank:
21
Projected Record:
9.3 - 6.7
Make Playoffs: 57.5%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Balanced Offense
Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Doug Free, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Alan Ball, S
Fantasy Stud: Miles Austin, WR
Fantasy Dud: Roy Williams, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: David Buehler, K

Philadelphia Eagles
Power Rank: 8
Offensive Rank:
15
Defensive Rank:
7
Projected Record:
9.0 - 7.0
Make Playoffs: 55.2%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Aggressive Defense
Greatest Weakness: First-time Starting Quarterback
Most Important Offensive Player: Kevin Kolb, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Nate Allen, S
Fantasy Stud: DeSean Jackson, WR
Fantasy Dud: Jason Avant, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Michael Vick, QB

New York Giants
Power Rank: 9
Offensive Rank:
11
Defensive Rank:
15
Projected Record:
8.7 - 7.3
Make Playoffs: 44.8%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Biggest Strength: Physicality at the Line of Scrimmage
Greatest Weakness: Forcing Turnovers
Most Important Offensive Player: Hakeem Nicks, WR
Most Important Defensive Player: Clint Sintim, LB
Fantasy Stud: Hakeem Nicks, WR
Fantasy Dud: Brandon Jacobs, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Andre Brown, RB

Washington Redskins
Power Rank: 18
Offensive Rank:
20
Defensive Rank:
17
Projected Record:
7.8 - 8.2
Make Playoffs: 14.1%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Biggest Strength: Pressure on the Quarterback (Defense)
Greatest Weakness: Pressure on the Quarterback (Offense)
Most Important Offensive Player: Trent Williams, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Albert Haynesworth, DT
Fantasy Stud: Donovan McNabb, QB
Fantasy Dud: Clinton Portis, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Malcolm Kelly, WR (though maybe not for the Redskins)

NFC North Preview
The NFC North features the conference's most likely Super Bowl participant and the most dramatically improved team in the league ("on paper" or "in computer" in this case) - and they're still at opposite ends of the division. The Green Bay Packers, who won seven of their last eight regular season games, only losing on fluky last plays to Pittsburgh and in the playoffs to Arizona, have an exceptionally balanced team that ranks in our projected top ten offensively and defensively and wins the division 51% of the time. The Detroit Lions have overhauled their defense and have many young weapons on offense to the point of almost becoming respectable. 4.7 wins may not be a great season, but it more than doubles last year's output and is technically an infinite improvement on 2008. The Lions may just be 1-2 years away from contending for the playoffs. With or without Favre, the Vikings will probably take a step back as the team out-performed its numbers in 2009 and still faces the now-superior Packers twice. With the Mike Martz-Jay Cutler tandem, Chicago's offense should be fun to watch. That's good and bad for the Bears. Collectively, the NFC North is 15% likely to win the Super Bowl. The NFC North plays the NFC and AFC East.

Green Bay Packers
Power Rank: 5
Offensive Rank:
9
Defensive Rank:
9
Projected Record:
9.4 - 6.6
Make Playoffs: 67.8%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Aggression (in Every Phase of the Game)
Greatest Weakness: Reliance on Turnovers (Requires Some Luck)
Most Important Offensive Player: Chad Clifton, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Tramon Williams, CB
Fantasy Stud: Aaron Rodgers, QB
Fantasy Dud: Donald Lee, TE
Fantasy Sleeper: James Starks, RB

Minnesota Vikings*
Power Rank: 11
Offensive Rank:
7
Defensive Rank:
24
Projected Record:
8.2 - 7.8
Make Playoffs: 43.5%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Biggest Strength: Rushing (Offense and Defense)
Greatest Weakness: Schedule (Especially Early for a Banged-Up Team)
Most Important Offensive Player: Brett Favre/Tarvaris Jackson, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: E.J. Henderson, LB
Fantasy Stud: Adrian Peterson, RB
Fantasy Dud: Brett Favre, QB
Fantasy Sleeper: Albert Young, RB

* At the time of this posting, reports have suggested that Brett Favre has told teammates that he will retire. However, neither Favre nor the Minnesota Vikings are confirming these reports. Given that news and Favre's history, he plays in 50% of the simulated seasons, with Tarvaris Jackson starting at quarterback in the other 50%.

Chicago Bears
Power Rank: 21
Offensive Rank:
17
Defensive Rank:
22
Projected Record:
7.6 - 8.4
Make Playoffs: 25.%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Mike Martz
Greatest Weakness: Mike Martz
Most Important Offensive Player: Chris Williams, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Julius Peppers, DE
Fantasy Stud: Jay Cutler, QB
Fantasy Dud: Earl Bennett, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Chester Taylor, RB

Detroit Lions
Power Rank: 30
Offensive Rank:
29
Defensive Rank:
30
Projected Record:
4.7 - 11.3
Make Playoffs: 0.5%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 8
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Light at the End of the Tunnel (Tremendous Talent Improvement)
Greatest Weakness: Everything (Success is Still Probably Two Seasons Away)
Most Important Offensive Player: Matthew Stafford, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Chris Houston, CB
Fantasy Stud: Calvin Johnson, WR
Fantasy Dud: Kevin Smith, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Brandon Pettigrew, TE

NFC West Preview
Pete Carroll may consider the NFC West the most winnable division in the NFL. Play-by-play announcers calling divisional games may call it the most competitive. We would say that it's the worst. San Francisco has an emerging defense and some interesting weapons, yet it would be hard to consider the 49ers a better than .500 team in any other division. Arizona may have back-to-back playoff appearances to its credit, but the team lost much of its foundation when Kurt Warner, Anquan Boldin, Karlos Dansby and Antrel Rolle left. And, Seattle and St. Louis have two of the weakest rosters in the NFL (both ranking in the bottom four in our Power Rankings). Collectively, the NFC West is just 2% likely to win the Super Bowl. The NFC West plays the NFC South and AFC West.

San Francisco 49ers
Power Rank: 20
Offensive Rank:
23
Defensive Rank:
5
Projected Record:
8.6 - 7.4
Make Playoffs: 53.8%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Run Defense
Greatest Weakness: Young Offensive Line
Most Important Offensive Player: Alex Smith, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Nate Clements, CB
Fantasy Stud: Frank Gore, RB
Fantasy Dud: Ted Ginn, Jr., WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Anthony Dixon, RB

Arizona Cardinals
Power Rank: 22
Offensive Rank:
13
Defensive Rank:
18
Projected Record:
8.1 - 7.9
Make Playoffs: 49.7%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Explosive Playmakers
Greatest Weakness: Quarterback
Most Important Offensive Player: Matt Leinart/Derek Anderson, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Greg Toler, CB
Fantasy Stud: Beanie Wells, RB
Fantasy Dud: Matt Leinart, QB
Fantasy Sleeper: Andre Roberts, WR

Seattle Seahawks
Power Rank: 28
Offensive Rank:
25
Defensive Rank:
27
Projected Record:
6.4 - 9.6
Make Playoffs: 19.1%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Linebackers
Greatest Weakness: Health and Stability
Most Important Offensive Player: Russell Okung, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Earl Thomas, S
Fantasy Stud: John Carlson, TE
Fantasy Dud: Julius Jones, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Golden Tate, WR

St. Louis Rams
Power Rank: 32
Offensive Rank:
30
Defensive Rank:
32
Projected Record:
4.0 - 12.0
Make Playoffs: 0.2%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Special Teams and Steven Jackson
Greatest Weakness: Everything Else (Especially When Steven Jackson May Not Be Healthy)
Most Important Offensive Player: Sam Bradford, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: All of Them
Fantasy Stud: Steven Jackson, RB (by default)
Fantasy Dud: Donnie Avery, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Mardy Gilyard, WR

NFC South Preview
With the defending Super Bowl champions (New Orleans), a young team on the verge of NFC greatness (Atlanta) and an even younger team poised for a breakout season that the Predictalator likes far more than the oddsmakers (Carolina), the NFC South is clearly among the top three divisions in the NFL and may emerge as the only one with three playoff teams. And with a solid defense and physical offense, even the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected to double their win total from 2009. Collectively, the NFC South is 13% likely to win the Super Bowl. In a series that includes five of our top ten teams in the Power Rankings, the NFC South will play the NFC East. The NFC South also takes on the AFC North.

New Orleans Saints
Power Rank: 7
Offensive Rank:
1
Defensive Rank:
19
Projected Record:
9.6 - 6.4
Make Playoffs: 65.7%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 4
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Biggest Strength: Braintrust of Brees and Payton
Greatest Weakness: Reliance on Winning Turnovers (Requires Some Luck)
Most Important Offensive Player: Jermon Bushrod, OT
Most Important Defensive Player: Sedrick Ellis, DT
Fantasy Stud: Drew Brees, QB
Fantasy Dud: David Thomas, TE
Fantasy Sleeper: Lance Moore, WR

Atlanta Falcons
Power Rank: 10
Offensive Rank:
6
Defensive Rank:
12
Projected Record:
9.4 - 6.6
Make Playoffs: 65.7%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 7
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Dominating Line of Scrimmage
Greatest Weakness: Pass Defense
Most Important Offensive Player: Harry Douglas, WR
Most Important Defensive Player: Dunta Robinson, CB
Fantasy Stud: Michael Turner, RB
Fantasy Dud: Michael Jenkins, WR
Fantasy Sleeper: Harry Douglas, WR

Carolina Panthers
Power Rank: 19
Offensive Rank:
18
Defensive Rank:
13
Projected Record:
8.6 - 7.4
Make Playoffs: 35.9%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Youth and Athelticism
Greatest Weakness: Youth and Inexperience
Most Important Offensive Player: Matt Moore, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Jamar Williams, LB
Fantasy Stud: Steve Smith, WR
Fantasy Dud: Jeff King, TE
Fantasy Sleeper: Brandon LaFell, WR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Power Rank: 29
Offensive Rank:
28
Defensive Rank:
16
Projected Record:
6.3 - 9.7
Make Playoffs: 0.4%
2009 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 5
Projected 2010 Playoff Teams on Schedule: 6
Biggest Strength: Emerging Young Defense
Greatest Weakness: Passing Offense
Most Important Offensive Player: Josh Freeman, QB
Most Important Defensive Player: Brian Price, DT
Fantasy Stud: Kellen Winslow, TE
Fantasy Dud: Derrick Ward, RB
Fantasy Sleeper: Josh Freeman, QB

As we have done with great success with college and professional basketball, we have picks available for every NFL and college game as well. Pick packages include Play Value Calculators and Keys for optimal bankroll management, the ability to play the game yourself using any lines you choose, a unique parlay calculator, the ability to track the Predictalator's success, research trends and comprehensive fantasy projections for every single player. This technology has been used to accurately predict the last seven Super Bowls against the spread and win the inaugural Richard Gardner pro football pick'em contest. Check out the Shop now to learn more.

Football Preview Pages:
Free Over/Under NFL Win Totals
NFL Preview
NFL Fantasy Projections
NFL Power Rankings
Free Over/Under College Win Totals
College Football Preview
College Football Power Rankings
Play the Games
Buy Picks
Print This Article
NEXT ARTICLE
NFL Picks Week 13
Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

ARCHIVE

Ad

The Predictalator

The Predictalator is the most advanced sports forecasting software available today because it has the ability to account for all of the relevant statistical interactions of the players, coaches, officials, home field advantage and weather in each game.

Picks for every game, including our Play Value Key and Calculator recommendations for optimal bankroll management and access to the Play Analyzer can be purchased in the Shop.

11/24/2014 Highlight: Using the ResultsFinder for the Week of November 17th - 23rd, one could find that all highlighted college football "normal" or better plays went 6-3 (67% ATS and O/U), highlighted by the Lock of the Week, Appalachian State (+10 vs. LA-Lafayette), winning outright, 35-16, to cover by four touchdowns. The Lock of the Week has won seven of the last eight weeks and is 22-7 (77% ATS) in the last two seasons. Against-the-spread, "normal" or better halftime plays in college football also were solid going 4-2 (67% ATS).

While there have only been three "normal" NFL ATS full game picks in the last two weeks, normal or better NFL against-the-spread halftimes have provided additional value by going 6-1 (86% ATS) in Week 11 and Week 12. Over the last six weeks, all playable full game against-the-spread NFL picks are 39-26 (60% ATS). In that same stretch, "normal or better halftime picks in the NFL are 17-8 (68% ATS). All halftime picks are free for the week!

Finally, in the NBA, all "normal" or better picks went 5-3 (63% ATS and O/U). And, on the ice, all normal NHL plays stayed strong once again returning a profit for the fourth straight week. In the last four weeks, all normal or better NHL picks are 66-44 (60% ML, O/U and PL).

Recommended Features

LOGIN

LATEST ARTICLES

NFL Picks - Week 13
For Week 13 in the NFL, there are a total of 12 playable against-the-spread picks, including all three games on Thanksgiving day as well as 11 playable totals. See Thanksgiving Day games and more.

College Picks - Week 14
For Week 14 in College Football, there are a total of nine plays that cover the spread greater than 57% of the time to be considered "normal" or better as well as five predicted outright upsets. See Mississippi State @ Ole Miss and more.

FIND US ONLINE


Statistical Information Provided by: SportsData © 2012

All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.
Home | The Predictalator | Features | Privacy |  Customer Support |  Media Contact |  Sitemap
© 2010-2014 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com