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    Post Draft Props (04/29/13)

    John Ewing, Director of Research and Analytics
    By John Ewing

    The NFL Draft is over and with players joining their new teams we look at a few prop bets. Plus Tim Tebow props.

    With the NFL Draft over we look at five prop bets involving some of the biggest names and surprises in this year's draft class.

    E.J. Manuel - Will he start Week 1 for the Buffalo Bills in the 2013 Regular Season?          

    • Yes, +200    
    • No, -300

    Why Yes: Buffalo took Manuel with the 16th pick in the draft surprising many who believed Geno Smith was the best quarterback. Bill’s CEO Russ Brandon said Manuel would come in and compete in 2013.

    Why No: The Bills signed Kevin Kolb who before getting injured threw for 1,160 yards and eight touchdowns in six games last season. Buffalo also has Tarvaris Jackson on the roster to compete for the starting job.      

    Geno Smith - Total Starts in the 2013 Regular Season   

    • Over/Under, 4.5 games

    Why Over: The Jets released Tim Tebow after selecting Smith; one less obstacle.

    Why Under: Mark Sanchez, David Garrard, and Greg McElroy are all on the roster and it will be difficult for Smith to surpass them all.

    Matt Barkley - Total Starts in the 2013 Regular Season  

    • Over/Under, 2 games

    Why Over: Michael Vick and David Garrard are injury risks.

    Why Under: Nick Foles played in seven games last season even after Vick was healthy enough to return. If Vick were to get hurt Foles could very well get the nod.

    Tavon Austin - Total Receiving Yards in the 2013 Regular Season 

    • Over/Under, 800 yards

    Why Over: Two of the three top receivers from last year’s team are gone. Austin should contend for a large share of the 183 receptions and 1,357 receiving yards that Amendola/Gibson had last season.

    Why Under: No receiver had more than 700 yards receiving last season and that was with Bradford playing all 16 games. The Rams have not had a receiver crack 700 yards since Torry Holt in 2008.

    Ziggy Ansah  - Total Sacks in the 2013 Regular Season   

    • Over/Under, 4.5 sacks

    Why Over: The Lions used the 5th overall pick to select Ansah. Ansah is a better version of Cliff Avril who had 9.5 sacks for Detroit last season.

    Why Under: Ansah has only been playing football for three years. NFL offensive linemen are faster and stronger than any competition he has faced.

    Tim Tebow Props

    The Jets released Tebow Monday morning after drafting Geno Smith over the weekend. Tebow has not been picked up by another organization but below are some fun props for when he eventually catches on.

    Will he start a game as a QB in the 2013 Regular Season?     

    • Yes, 4/1
    • No, 1/7   

    Which position will he play in his 1st Offensive play in the 2013 Regular Season?        

    • QB, 1/2
    • WR/TE, 3/2
    • RB/HB/FB, 5/1

    What will happen first for Tim Tebow?           

    • Throws another TD Pass in the NFL, 1/5
    • Admits to having intercourse, 3/1

    Will he join the Montreal Alouettes in 2013? (Note: Montreal owns Tebow’s CFL rights)  

    • Yes, 10/1
    • No, 1/25
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