New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Richner: Super Bowl QBs

    Last Updated: 2/25/2016 7:35 PM ET

    PredictionMachine.com's NFL Draft Expert, Matt Richner, reviews collegiate tendencies of recent Super Bowl winning quarterbacks as well as current Super Bowl participants, Colin Kaepernick and Joe Flacco.

    In anticipation of the upcoming Super Bowl, I thought it would be interesting to take a step back and look at the stats of previous winning QBs to see if there are any trends, significant markers or outliers to help predict who will be the winning QB of this year's Super Bowl.

    The Baltimore Ravens, led by quarterback Joe Flacco, and the San Francisco 49ers, led by quarterback Colin Kaepernick, aim to add their team's name to NFL greatness come next Sunday. Since 1993 there have been 13 different starting QBs to lift the Lombardi trophy. Each of these 13 starting QBs had a variety of skill sets, from gunslingers, such as John Elway, to cool-handed surgeons, such as Tom Brady.

    Below is a list of the 13 quarterbacks who have won a Super Bowl title in the last 20 years, along with their respective COLLEGE STATS.

    Player School Att. Comp Comp % TD INT TD/INT Yards YPA
    Troy Aikman UCLA 637 401 63.0% 40 18 2.22 5,436 8.53
    Steve Young BYU 908 592 65.2% 56 33 1.70 7,633 8.41
    Brett Favre So. Miss. 1169 613 52.4% 52 34 1.53 7,695 6.58
    John Elway Stanford 1246 774 62.1% 77 39 1.97 9,349 7.50
    Kurt Warner N. Iowa 352 201 57.1% 19 0 N/A 2,982 8.47
    Trent Dilfer Fresno St. 865 511 59.1% 53 22 2.41 7,631 8.82
    Tom Brady Michigan 711 443 62.3% 35 19 1.84 5,351 7.53
    Brad Johnson Florida St. 236 153 64.8% 13 8 1.63 1,665 7.06
    Ben Roethlisberger Miami (OH) 1304 854 65.5% 84 34 2.47 10,829 8.30
    Peyton Manning Tennessee 1381 863 62.5% 89 33 2.70 11,201 8.11
    Eli Manning Ole Miss 1363 829 60.8% 81 35 2.31 10,119 7.42
    Drew Brees Purdue 1639 1003 61.2% 88 45 1.96 11,517 7.03
    Aaron Rodgers California 665 424 63.8% 43 13 3.31 5,469 8.22
      Avg: 959 589 61.52% 56 27 2.17 7452 7.85

    All 13 quarterbacks were accomplished signal callers while in college, the lone exception being Kurt Warner. There are only three quarterbacks on this list who failed to achieve a career completion percentage greater than 60 percent while in college: Favre, Warner and Dilfer.

    These elite quarterbacks averaged 589 completions on 959 attempts, throwing for an average of 7,452 passing yards. This is not a collection of running quarterbacks who occasionally threw the ball (think of Mike Vick). They were highly accurate with the football, throwing for an average 61.5 percent. Most of these players played in a pro-style offense. Taking care of the football was obviously a priority for each of these quarterbacks, with an average ratio of 2.17 TD/INT.

    Every draft year there is a QB who fails to have the production but gets picked higher because of his strong measurables or because he passed the eyeball test at the NFL “Underwear Olympics” (NFL Combine). Just look at the draft selections of JaMarcus Russell and Kyle Boller.

    Great quarterbacks in the NFL just don’t come out of thin air; they come into the NFL with some measure of success. Super Bowl-winning QBs might not pass the measurables test the first go around, but they have proven they have greatness inside. All scouts have to do is look more at the evidence left by their stats and less at the 3-cone shuttle drill or vertical leap test.

    Joe Flacco and Colin Kapernick College Stats:

    Player School Att. Comp Comp % TD INT TD/INT Yards YPA
    Joe Flacco Delaware 938 595 63.4% 56 26 2.15 4,285 4.57
    Colin Kaepernick Nevada 1271 740 58.2% 82 24 3.42 10,098 7.94

    Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick will be doing everything in their power to put their name on the list of Super Bowl champion quarterbacks. Flacco, who played for the University of Delaware, completed 63 percent of his passes in college and finished with a quality rating of 2.15 TD/INT.

    Kaepernick had over 10,000 yards passing, combined with a TD/INT ratio at Aaron Rodgers level of 3.42 while playing for Nevada-Reno. Kaepernick amassed over 4,000 rushing yards as well, becoming the first quarterback in college football history to throw for over 10,000 yards and rush for over 4,000 yards.

    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Richner: Week 1 Prospects
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Richner: Positional Reports
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    ARCHIVE

    Ad

    The Predictalator

    Super Bowl 50 ResultsFinder Highlight: The Predictalator's pick in the Super Bowl (Denver +6) easily covered as the Broncos defeated the Panthers 24-10. All-time, in the NFL Playoffs, Locks of the Week are 20-5 (80% ATS). This includes Super Bowl against-the-spread picks, which are now 5-2 (71% ATS). All-time on the site, all against-the-spread NFL Playoff picks are now 46-20 (70% ATS).

    The Super Bowl was profitable in other ways as well. Not only did the UNDER (45.5) for the full game cover, the halftime side (Denver +4.5) and total (UNDER 23) did as well. And props were just as strong as all "normal" or better Super Bowl 50 player prop bets went 11-2 (85% props) to generate a return of +$592 for a normal $50 player using play value recommendations. Including all published props, game picks and halftime picks, all playable picks on the site for Super Bowl 50 went 38-11 (78%) and generated a profit of +$1,028 for a normal $50 player.

    Check out the Shop or Individual Picks pages now to learn more.

    LOGIN

    LATEST ARTICLES

    MLB Rest of Season
    Updating daily, we simulate rest of 2016 MLB regular season 50,000 times to project final records and standings for every team.

    Behind the Schedule - Rest, Injuries and Luck
    In his weekly column, Sean Pyritz looks at the impact of rest days, injuries and luck in an NBA season through the lens of the 60-win 2014-15 Atlanta Hawks

    FIND US ONLINE


    SportsRadar


    All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

    FSTA Member 2015
    Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
    © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com