New User? Sign Up / Forgot Your Password?
All Live
Projections
    All Live Projections

    Worst Bullpens in Baseball (05/18/16)

    by Mark Dankenbring
    By Mark Dankenbring
    Worst Bullpens in Baseball

    Last week I wrote about specific pitchers to target for the upcoming weekend, but targeting pitching extends further than just the starters. In the first six weeks of the season, the league average of innings pitched per games started (IP/GS) is at 5.7, with the Cubs leading the way at 6.5 IP/GS and the Reds in last at 5.1 IP/GS. Therefore, at least a third of the game is usually controlled by the bullpen, offering the opposing offense several opportunities to cash in after the starter has exited. So let's take a look at the teams with the worst bullpens so far, and how their shortcomings can become a positive for your offense.

    Cincinnati Reds

    The Reds pitching staff has been terrible all around, but their bullpen has really accentuated the problem. They have an overall ERA of 6.44, including eight blown saves in 12 chances. The major issue surrounding the Reds bullpen is the fact they've allowed a league-worst 31 home runs in just 38 games. Given the fact Reds' starters average the fewest amount of innings pitched per start, their bullpen sees a lot of work, which has hurt their team even more. The Reds will face the Indians tonight and tomorrow, will host the Mariners at home this weekend, and then head to LA to face the Dodgers. Look for these teams to exploit the Reds bullpen as they continue to mix and match with new arms trying to correct the problem.

    Texas Rangers

    Texas comes in with the second worst ERA as a bullpen, sitting at 5.17 through 39 games. They've allowed the second most home runs in the majors among bullpens with 25, and have allowed the highest opponent average at .280. Combine this with their league worst strikeout percentage and you get a bullpen that has struggled mightily. In the next week the Rangers will face Oakland to close out their series at home, then host Houston for a weekend battle and travel to face the Angels on Monday. So if any of the Rangers starters have a short outing, look for the other teams to capitalize against the bullpen as well.

    Minnesota Twins

    The league's second worst team can attribute a lot of its problems to its faulty bullpen. The Twins are tied with the Reds and Mariners with a league-most eight blown saves, and come in five saves behind the closest team with only two. Not only have they not had many great opportunities to put away games, but they haven't won many decisions on their own, going 5-10 allowing a 4.48 ERA and an opponents' batting average of .275, good for second worst behind the Rangers. Looking forward to face the Twins in the next week will be the Tigers, Blue Jays, and Royals.

    Atlanta Braves

    No surprise that the two worst teams in the majors both make this list, but the Braves have had bullpen struggles of their own. Their ERA is closing in on five at 4.78, and they have blown 50% of their save chances. The Braves have a 4-11 record as a bullpen, and have one of the highest WHIPs (walks and hits per innings pitched) in the league at 1.50, which can be attributed to their 63 walks allowed, which is the most in the league. The Braves will face off against the Pirates for the next two games, as well as division rivals in the Phillies and another sub-par bullpen in the Milwaukee Brewers to round out the week.

    It's important to look at the whole context of pitching when choosing batters each day. With a majority of teams relying on their bullpens to go three or more innings night in and night out, a lot of damage can be done on the offensive side. Therefore, keep an eye out for pitching matchups on teams with weaker bullpens, as a majority of at bats in a game can come with relievers on the mound.
    Print This Article
    PREVIOUS ARTICLE
    Injury Impacts on DFS (05/25/16)
    NEXT ARTICLE
    Pitchers to Stack Against (5/12/16)
    Want More Tips and Information? Click To Register!

    COMMENTS

    SEARCH BLOGS

    ARCHIVE

    The Predictalator

    04/24/2017 Highlight: With baseball season now in full swing, we can leverage our ResultsFinder tool to profile our season-to-date numbers. MLB sides, totals, and run lines have all been profitable to date, generating a total of $580 for an average $50 bettor. There are have been a total of nine "normal" or better positions year-to-date, and those positions are a sparkling 8-1 (88.9%), producing $393 in total profits. There is a ton of variance in baseball and there will be ups-and-downs along the way, but the early returns on the Predictalator's baseball projections are promising.

    The NBA Playoffs tipped off this week and the Predictalator is off to a stellar start. With a full season's worth of data to work with, the Predictalator has historically fared very well in the postseason across all sports, and this year has been no different. NBA playoff sides are 9-7 (56.3%) ATS, while NBA playoff totals are 15-9 (62.5%) through Sunday's action. A $50 bettor would have amassed $401 in total profits through the first week of the postseason alone.

    Check out the Shop now to learn more.

    Recommended Features

      LOGIN

      LATEST ARTICLES

      MLB - The So What?
      We use 50,000 simulations of the rest of the MLB season to analyze major personnel changes, including Miguel Cabrera's injury, Cody Bellinger's call up and the Seattle Mariners' mess.

      NHL Playoff Probabilities - Updated 4/24
      We simulate the rest of the NHL playoffs 50,000 times to provide each remaining team's updated probability of reaching each level of the postseason.

      FIND US ONLINE


      SportsRadar


      All registered accounts are subject to our General Terms Of Service. Content is intended for informational purposes only. This is not a gambling website.

      FSTA Member 2015
      Home | The Predictalator | Blog | Privacy |  Media Contact |  B2B Solutions |  Sitemap |  Customer Support | 
      © 2010-2015 PredictionMachine.com, LLC. All rights reserved. | Site Designed by Randombell.com